Idioma:Português
Alex Molcan v Alexander Bublik
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Alex Molcan (Local)
Previsão 28.06%3.56odd justa
EV +5.21%
Vantagem +1.39%
Kelly +1.90%
Crescimento +0.099%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.45%28.03%28.04%31.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.363.403.7533.33%29.73%29.41%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alexander Bublik (Visitante)
Previsão 71.94%1.39odd justa
EV -2.88%
Vantagem -2.13%
Kelly -8.22%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.35
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.97%71.97%71.96%74.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.271.321.321.3578.74%75.97%75.76%74.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alex Molcan (Local): 28.06%; Alexander Bublik (Visitante): 71.94%. Para Alex Molcan (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.56. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.21%.
Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +5.21%E +1.39%K +1.90%G +0.099% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -7.91%E -6.18%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.40%EV +3.25%E +0.883%K +1.21%G +0.039% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.60%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.81%EV +3.25%E +0.883%K +1.21%G +0.039% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.19%EV -7.91%E -6.18%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.00%E +0.279%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -0.399%E -0.112%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -2.08%E -0.597%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -2.08%E -0.597%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -4.05%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 13:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 13:23 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -6.85%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 13:21 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -15.83%E -5.28%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -15.83%E -5.28%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Novig◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |