مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alex Molcan v Alexander Bublik

البداية: 2026-04-14 13:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alex Molcan (المضيف)

التنبؤ 28.06%3.56السعر العادل
EV +5.21%
الأفضلية +1.39%
Kelly +1.90%
النمو +0.099%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.45%28.03%28.04%31.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.363.403.7533.33%29.73%29.41%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alexander Bublik (الضيف)

التنبؤ 71.94%1.39السعر العادل
EV -2.88%
الأفضلية -2.13%
Kelly -8.22%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
68.97%71.97%71.96%74.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.271.321.321.3578.74%75.97%75.76%74.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +5.21%E +1.39%K +1.90%G +0.099%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -7.91%E -6.18%K -28.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 13:24
Pinnacle3.68I 27.17%NM 26.40%EV +3.25%E +0.883%K +1.21%G +0.039%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.60%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-14 13:25
GTbets3.68I 27.17%NM 25.81%EV +3.25%E +0.883%K +1.21%G +0.039%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.19%EV -7.91%E -6.18%K -28.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 13:25
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.00%E +0.279%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 13:24
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -0.399%E -0.112%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 13:25
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 13:24
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 13:24
LowVig.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -2.08%E -0.597%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-14 13:25
BetOnline.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -2.08%E -0.597%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Betclic (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 13:24
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 13:25
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 13:25
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 13:24
Coolbet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -4.05%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 13:23
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 13:23
ReBet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 13:25
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
1xBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 13:25
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Unibet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 13:24
Fanatics3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 13:24
theScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 13:24
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 13:25
SportsBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -6.85%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 13:25
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 13:25
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 13:25
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 13:25
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 13:25
NordicBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 13:25
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 13:24
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 13:24
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 13:24
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 13:25
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 13:25
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 13:25
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 13:21
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 13:24
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 13:25
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 13:24
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -15.83%E -5.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -15.83%E -5.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 13:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-04-14 13:25
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%2.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Novig3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%3.7%2026-04-14 13:25