Language:English
Valentin Vacherot v Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Valentin Vacherot (Local)
Prediction 74.05%1.35fair odd
EV +6.63%
Edge +4.60%
Kelly +15.07%
Growth +0.999%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.63%73.62%74.24%79.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.311.291.4484.75%76.53%77.52%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visit)
Prediction 25.95%3.85fair odd
EV +16.78%
Edge +3.73%
Kelly +4.79%
Growth +0.804%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.77%26.38%25.76%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.433.504.5036.36%29.13%28.57%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Valentin Vacherot (Local): 74.05%; Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visit): 25.95%. For Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.78%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +6.63%E +4.60%K +15.07%G +0.999% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -28.63%E -10.41%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 08:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV +5.89%E +4.12%K +13.70%G +0.807% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -25.52%E -8.89%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV +5.89%E +4.12%K +13.70%G +0.807% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -26.04%E -9.14%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV +5.15%E +3.63%K +12.26%G +0.631% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -22.15%E -7.38%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV +5.15%E +3.63%K +12.26%G +0.631% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -22.15%E -7.38%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 15:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +5.15%E +3.63%K +12.26%G +0.631% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -27.34%E -9.76%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 15:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV +4.41%E +3.13%K +10.75%G +0.474% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -24.74%E -8.53%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +3.67%E +2.62%K +9.17%G +0.336% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -23.44%E -7.95%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 15:13 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +3.67%E +2.62%K +9.17%G +0.336% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -27.34%E -9.76%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 15:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +3.67%E +2.62%K +9.17%G +0.336% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -27.34%E -9.76%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +2.19%E +1.59%K +5.76%G +0.126% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -22.15%E -7.38%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 15:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV +1.45%E +1.06%K +3.91%G +0.057% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV +1.45%E +1.06%K +3.91%G +0.057% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -20.85%E -6.84%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 15:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV +1.45%E +1.06%K +3.91%G +0.057% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -24.74%E -8.53%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 15:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV +0.706%E +0.519%K +1.96%G +0.014% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -24.74%E -8.53%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 15:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -1.51%E -1.14%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -12.03%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.51%E -1.14%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -1.51%E -1.14%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -18.25%E -5.79%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 15:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.00%E -2.29%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -15.66%E -4.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 15:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +1.21%E +0.310%K +0.417%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.80%E +0.951%K +1.27%G +0.048% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 15:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.28%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -8.18%E -6.60%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -8.18%E -6.60%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -8.92%E -7.25%K -38.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +8.99%E +2.14%K +2.81%G +0.253% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.92%E -7.25%K -38.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.66%E -7.92%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -12.62%E -10.70%K -70.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +16.78%E +3.73%K +4.79%G +0.804% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.79% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |