Szkoła Kursów

Valentin Vacherot v Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Początek: 2026-04-06 15:55 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

58 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Valentin Vacherot (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 74.05%1.35kurs godziwy
EV +6.63%
Przewaga +4.60%
Kelly +15.07%
Wzrost +0.999%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.44

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
65.63%73.62%74.24%79.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.181.311.291.4484.75%76.53%77.52%69.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Goście)

Prognoza 25.95%3.85kurs godziwy
EV +16.78%
Przewaga +3.73%
Kelly +4.79%
Wzrost +0.804%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.77%26.38%25.76%34.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.753.433.504.5036.36%29.13%28.57%22.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (58 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +6.63%E +4.60%K +15.07%G +0.999%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -28.63%E -10.41%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 08:55
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV +5.89%E +4.12%K +13.70%G +0.807%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -25.52%E -8.89%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 15:00
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV +5.89%E +4.12%K +13.70%G +0.807%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -26.04%E -9.14%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 15:15
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV +5.15%E +3.63%K +12.26%G +0.631%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -22.15%E -7.38%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 15:20
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV +5.15%E +3.63%K +12.26%G +0.631%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -22.15%E -7.38%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 15:20
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +5.15%E +3.63%K +12.26%G +0.631%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -27.34%E -9.76%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 15:25
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV +4.41%E +3.13%K +10.75%G +0.474%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -24.74%E -8.53%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 15:15
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +3.67%E +2.62%K +9.17%G +0.336%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -23.44%E -7.95%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 15:13
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +3.67%E +2.62%K +9.17%G +0.336%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -27.34%E -9.76%K -15.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 15:04
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +3.67%E +2.62%K +9.17%G +0.336%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -27.34%E -9.76%K -15.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 15:05
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +2.19%E +1.59%K +5.76%G +0.126%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -22.15%E -7.38%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 15:25
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV +1.45%E +1.06%K +3.91%G +0.057%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-06 15:35
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV +1.45%E +1.06%K +3.91%G +0.057%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -20.85%E -6.84%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 15:25
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV +1.45%E +1.06%K +3.91%G +0.057%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -24.74%E -8.53%K -13.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 15:25
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV +0.706%E +0.519%K +1.96%G +0.014%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -24.74%E -8.53%K -13.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 15:14
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -1.51%E -1.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -12.03%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 15:15
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.51%E -1.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 15:35
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -1.51%E -1.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -18.25%E -5.79%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 15:25
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.00%E -2.29%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 15:35
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-06 15:35
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 15:30
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 15:35
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 15:35
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 15:35
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 15:35
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 15:35
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 15:35
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 15:35
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 15:35
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 15:35
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -15.66%E -4.82%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 15:34
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +1.21%E +0.310%K +0.417%G +0.005%4.4%2026-04-06 15:35
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 15:35
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.80%E +0.951%K +1.27%G +0.048%5.0%2026-04-06 15:34
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 15:35
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 15:35
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 15:35
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 15:35
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 15:35
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 15:35
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.28%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 15:35
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 15:35
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 15:35
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -8.18%E -6.60%K -34.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 15:35
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -8.18%E -6.60%K -34.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 15:35
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -8.92%E -7.25%K -38.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +8.99%E +2.14%K +2.81%G +0.253%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.92%E -7.25%K -38.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 15:35
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.66%E -7.92%K -43.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 15:35
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -12.62%E -10.70%K -70.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +16.78%E +3.73%K +4.79%G +0.804%7.0%2026-04-06 15:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-04-06 15:35
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-04-06 15:35
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-04-06 15:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%4.7%2026-04-06 15:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%5.0%2026-04-06 15:35
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.79%6.7%2026-04-06 15:35