Die Wettquotenschule

Valentin Vacherot v Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-06 15:55 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

58 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Valentin Vacherot (Heim)

Prognose 74.05%1.35faire Quote
EV +6.63%
Vorteil +4.60%
Kelly +15.07%
Wachstum +0.999%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.44

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
65.63%73.62%74.24%79.23%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.181.311.291.4484.75%76.53%77.52%69.44%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Auswärts)

Prognose 25.95%3.85faire Quote
EV +16.78%
Vorteil +3.73%
Kelly +4.79%
Wachstum +0.804%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.77%26.38%25.76%34.37%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.753.433.504.5036.36%29.13%28.57%22.22%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +6.63%E +4.60%K +15.07%G +0.999%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -28.63%E -10.41%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 08:55
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV +5.89%E +4.12%K +13.70%G +0.807%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -25.52%E -8.89%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 15:00
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV +5.89%E +4.12%K +13.70%G +0.807%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -26.04%E -9.14%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 15:15
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV +5.15%E +3.63%K +12.26%G +0.631%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -22.15%E -7.38%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 15:20
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV +5.15%E +3.63%K +12.26%G +0.631%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -22.15%E -7.38%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 15:20
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +5.15%E +3.63%K +12.26%G +0.631%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -27.34%E -9.76%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 15:25
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV +4.41%E +3.13%K +10.75%G +0.474%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -24.74%E -8.53%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 15:15
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +3.67%E +2.62%K +9.17%G +0.336%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -23.44%E -7.95%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 15:13
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +3.67%E +2.62%K +9.17%G +0.336%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -27.34%E -9.76%K -15.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 15:04
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +3.67%E +2.62%K +9.17%G +0.336%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -27.34%E -9.76%K -15.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 15:05
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +2.19%E +1.59%K +5.76%G +0.126%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -22.15%E -7.38%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 15:25
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV +1.45%E +1.06%K +3.91%G +0.057%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-06 15:35
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV +1.45%E +1.06%K +3.91%G +0.057%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -20.85%E -6.84%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 15:25
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV +1.45%E +1.06%K +3.91%G +0.057%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -24.74%E -8.53%K -13.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 15:25
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV +0.706%E +0.519%K +1.96%G +0.014%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -24.74%E -8.53%K -13.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 15:14
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -1.51%E -1.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -12.03%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 15:15
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.51%E -1.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 15:35
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -1.51%E -1.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -18.25%E -5.79%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 15:25
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.00%E -2.29%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 15:35
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-06 15:35
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 15:30
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 15:35
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 15:35
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 15:35
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 15:35
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 15:35
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 15:35
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 15:35
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 15:35
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 15:35
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -15.66%E -4.82%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 15:34
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +1.21%E +0.310%K +0.417%G +0.005%4.4%2026-04-06 15:35
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 15:35
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.80%E +0.951%K +1.27%G +0.048%5.0%2026-04-06 15:34
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 15:35
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 15:35
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 15:35
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 15:35
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 15:35
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 15:35
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.28%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 15:35
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 15:35
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 15:35
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -8.18%E -6.60%K -34.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 15:35
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -8.18%E -6.60%K -34.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 15:35
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -8.92%E -7.25%K -38.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +8.99%E +2.14%K +2.81%G +0.253%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.92%E -7.25%K -38.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 15:35
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.66%E -7.92%K -43.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 15:35
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -12.62%E -10.70%K -70.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +16.78%E +3.73%K +4.79%G +0.804%7.0%2026-04-06 15:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-04-06 15:35
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-04-06 15:35
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-04-06 15:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%4.7%2026-04-06 15:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%5.0%2026-04-06 15:35
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.79%6.7%2026-04-06 15:35