مدرسة الاحتمالات

Valentin Vacherot v Juan Manuel Cerundolo

البداية: 2026-04-06 15:55 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Valentin Vacherot (المضيف)

التنبؤ 74.05%1.35السعر العادل
EV +6.63%
الأفضلية +4.60%
Kelly +15.07%
النمو +0.999%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.44

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.63%73.62%74.24%79.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.181.311.291.4484.75%76.53%77.52%69.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.95%3.85السعر العادل
EV +16.78%
الأفضلية +3.73%
Kelly +4.79%
النمو +0.804%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.77%26.38%25.76%34.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.433.504.5036.36%29.13%28.57%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +6.63%E +4.60%K +15.07%G +0.999%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -28.63%E -10.41%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 08:55
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV +5.89%E +4.12%K +13.70%G +0.807%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -25.52%E -8.89%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 15:00
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV +5.89%E +4.12%K +13.70%G +0.807%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -26.04%E -9.14%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 15:15
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV +5.15%E +3.63%K +12.26%G +0.631%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -22.15%E -7.38%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 15:20
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV +5.15%E +3.63%K +12.26%G +0.631%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -22.15%E -7.38%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 15:20
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +5.15%E +3.63%K +12.26%G +0.631%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -27.34%E -9.76%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 15:25
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV +4.41%E +3.13%K +10.75%G +0.474%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -24.74%E -8.53%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 15:15
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +3.67%E +2.62%K +9.17%G +0.336%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -23.44%E -7.95%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 15:13
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +3.67%E +2.62%K +9.17%G +0.336%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -27.34%E -9.76%K -15.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 15:04
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +3.67%E +2.62%K +9.17%G +0.336%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -27.34%E -9.76%K -15.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 15:05
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +2.19%E +1.59%K +5.76%G +0.126%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -22.15%E -7.38%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 15:25
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV +1.45%E +1.06%K +3.91%G +0.057%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-06 15:35
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV +1.45%E +1.06%K +3.91%G +0.057%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -20.85%E -6.84%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 15:25
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV +1.45%E +1.06%K +3.91%G +0.057%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -24.74%E -8.53%K -13.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 15:25
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV +0.706%E +0.519%K +1.96%G +0.014%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -24.74%E -8.53%K -13.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 15:14
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -1.51%E -1.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -12.03%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 15:15
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.51%E -1.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 15:35
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -1.51%E -1.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -18.25%E -5.79%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 15:25
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.00%E -2.29%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 15:35
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-06 15:35
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 15:30
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 15:35
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 15:35
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 15:35
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 15:35
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 15:35
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 15:35
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 15:35
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 15:35
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 15:35
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -15.66%E -4.82%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 15:34
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +1.21%E +0.310%K +0.417%G +0.005%4.4%2026-04-06 15:35
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 15:35
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.80%E +0.951%K +1.27%G +0.048%5.0%2026-04-06 15:34
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 15:35
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 15:35
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 15:35
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 15:35
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 15:35
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 15:35
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.28%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 15:35
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 15:35
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 15:35
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -8.18%E -6.60%K -34.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 15:35
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -8.18%E -6.60%K -34.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 15:35
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -8.92%E -7.25%K -38.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +8.99%E +2.14%K +2.81%G +0.253%5.1%2026-04-06 15:35
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.92%E -7.25%K -38.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 15:35
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.66%E -7.92%K -43.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 15:35
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -12.62%E -10.70%K -70.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +16.78%E +3.73%K +4.79%G +0.804%7.0%2026-04-06 15:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-04-06 15:35
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-04-06 15:35
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-04-06 15:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%4.7%2026-04-06 15:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%5.0%2026-04-06 15:35
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.79%6.7%2026-04-06 15:35