La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Valentin Vacherot v Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Valentin Vacherot (Local)
Predicción 74.05%1.35momio equitativo
EV +6.63%
Ventaja +4.60%
Kelly +15.07%
Crecimiento +0.999%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.63%73.62%74.24%79.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.181.311.291.4484.75%76.53%77.52%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visitante)
Predicción 25.95%3.85momio equitativo
EV +16.78%
Ventaja +3.73%
Kelly +4.79%
Crecimiento +0.804%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.77%26.38%25.76%34.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.433.504.5036.36%29.13%28.57%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +6.63%E +4.60%K +15.07%G +0.999% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -28.63%E -10.41%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 08:55 |
| GTbets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV +5.89%E +4.12%K +13.70%G +0.807% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -25.52%E -8.89%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV +5.89%E +4.12%K +13.70%G +0.807% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -26.04%E -9.14%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV +5.15%E +3.63%K +12.26%G +0.631% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -22.15%E -7.38%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV +5.15%E +3.63%K +12.26%G +0.631% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -22.15%E -7.38%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 15:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +5.15%E +3.63%K +12.26%G +0.631% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -27.34%E -9.76%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 15:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV +4.41%E +3.13%K +10.75%G +0.474% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -24.74%E -8.53%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| ReBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +3.67%E +2.62%K +9.17%G +0.336% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -23.44%E -7.95%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 15:13 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +3.67%E +2.62%K +9.17%G +0.336% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -27.34%E -9.76%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 15:04 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +3.67%E +2.62%K +9.17%G +0.336% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -27.34%E -9.76%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 15:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +2.19%E +1.59%K +5.76%G +0.126% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -22.15%E -7.38%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 15:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV +1.45%E +1.06%K +3.91%G +0.057% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV +1.45%E +1.06%K +3.91%G +0.057% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -20.85%E -6.84%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 15:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV +1.45%E +1.06%K +3.91%G +0.057% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -24.74%E -8.53%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 15:25 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV +0.706%E +0.519%K +1.96%G +0.014% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -24.74%E -8.53%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 15:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -1.51%E -1.14%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -12.03%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| Betway | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.51%E -1.14%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -1.51%E -1.14%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -18.25%E -5.79%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 15:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.00%E -2.29%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| betPARX | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -15.66%E -4.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 15:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +1.21%E +0.310%K +0.417%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.80%E +0.951%K +1.27%G +0.048% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 15:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Betsson | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Caesars | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.28%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -8.18%E -6.60%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -8.18%E -6.60%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -8.92%E -7.25%K -38.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +8.99%E +2.14%K +2.81%G +0.253% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Fliff | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.92%E -7.25%K -38.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.66%E -7.92%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -12.62%E -10.70%K -70.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +16.78%E +3.73%K +4.79%G +0.804% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Novig | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.79% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |