La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Valentin Vacherot v Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Valentin Vacherot (Casa)
Previsione 74.05%1.35quota equa
EV +6.63%
Vantaggio +4.60%
Kelly +15.07%
Crescita +0.999%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.63%73.62%74.24%79.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.181.311.291.4484.75%76.53%77.52%69.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Trasferta)
Previsione 25.95%3.85quota equa
EV +16.78%
Vantaggio +3.73%
Kelly +4.79%
Crescita +0.804%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.77%26.38%25.76%34.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.433.504.5036.36%29.13%28.57%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +6.63%E +4.60%K +15.07%G +0.999% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -28.63%E -10.41%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 08:55 |
| GTbets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV +5.89%E +4.12%K +13.70%G +0.807% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -25.52%E -8.89%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV +5.89%E +4.12%K +13.70%G +0.807% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -26.04%E -9.14%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV +5.15%E +3.63%K +12.26%G +0.631% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -22.15%E -7.38%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV +5.15%E +3.63%K +12.26%G +0.631% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -22.15%E -7.38%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 15:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +5.15%E +3.63%K +12.26%G +0.631% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -27.34%E -9.76%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 15:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV +4.41%E +3.13%K +10.75%G +0.474% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -24.74%E -8.53%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| ReBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +3.67%E +2.62%K +9.17%G +0.336% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -23.44%E -7.95%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 15:13 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +3.67%E +2.62%K +9.17%G +0.336% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -27.34%E -9.76%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 15:04 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +3.67%E +2.62%K +9.17%G +0.336% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -27.34%E -9.76%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 15:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +2.19%E +1.59%K +5.76%G +0.126% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -22.15%E -7.38%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 15:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV +1.45%E +1.06%K +3.91%G +0.057% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV +1.45%E +1.06%K +3.91%G +0.057% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -20.85%E -6.84%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 15:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV +1.45%E +1.06%K +3.91%G +0.057% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -24.74%E -8.53%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 15:25 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV +0.706%E +0.519%K +1.96%G +0.014% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -24.74%E -8.53%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 15:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -1.51%E -1.14%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -12.03%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| Betway | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.51%E -1.14%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -1.51%E -1.14%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -18.25%E -5.79%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 15:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.00%E -2.29%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| betPARX | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -15.66%E -4.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 15:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +1.21%E +0.310%K +0.417%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.80%E +0.951%K +1.27%G +0.048% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 15:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Betsson | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Caesars | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.28%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -8.18%E -6.60%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -8.18%E -6.60%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -8.92%E -7.25%K -38.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +8.99%E +2.14%K +2.81%G +0.253% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Fliff | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.92%E -7.25%K -38.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.66%E -7.92%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -12.62%E -10.70%K -70.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +16.78%E +3.73%K +4.79%G +0.804% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Novig | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.79% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |