Langue:Français
Valentin Vacherot v Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Valentin Vacherot (Local)
Prévision 74.05%1.35cote équitable
EV +6.63%
Avantage +4.60%
Kelly +15.07%
Croissance +0.999%
avec la cote maximale 1.44
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.63%73.62%74.24%79.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.181.311.291.4484.75%76.53%77.52%69.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.95%3.85cote équitable
EV +16.78%
Avantage +3.73%
Kelly +4.79%
Croissance +0.804%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.77%26.38%25.76%34.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.753.433.504.5036.36%29.13%28.57%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Valentin Vacherot (Local) : 74.05% ; Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visiteur) : 25.95%. Pour Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.85. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.50, soit une espérance positive de +16.78%.
Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +6.63%E +4.60%K +15.07%G +0.999% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -28.63%E -10.41%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 08:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV +5.89%E +4.12%K +13.70%G +0.807% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -25.52%E -8.89%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV +5.89%E +4.12%K +13.70%G +0.807% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -26.04%E -9.14%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV +5.15%E +3.63%K +12.26%G +0.631% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -22.15%E -7.38%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV +5.15%E +3.63%K +12.26%G +0.631% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -22.15%E -7.38%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 15:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +5.15%E +3.63%K +12.26%G +0.631% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -27.34%E -9.76%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 15:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV +4.41%E +3.13%K +10.75%G +0.474% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -24.74%E -8.53%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +3.67%E +2.62%K +9.17%G +0.336% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -23.44%E -7.95%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 15:13 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +3.67%E +2.62%K +9.17%G +0.336% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -27.34%E -9.76%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 15:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +3.67%E +2.62%K +9.17%G +0.336% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -27.34%E -9.76%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +2.19%E +1.59%K +5.76%G +0.126% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -22.15%E -7.38%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 15:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV +1.45%E +1.06%K +3.91%G +0.057% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV +1.45%E +1.06%K +3.91%G +0.057% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -20.85%E -6.84%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 15:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV +1.45%E +1.06%K +3.91%G +0.057% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -24.74%E -8.53%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 15:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV +0.706%E +0.519%K +1.96%G +0.014% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -24.74%E -8.53%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 15:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -1.51%E -1.14%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -12.03%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.51%E -1.14%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -1.51%E -1.14%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -18.25%E -5.79%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 15:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.00%E -2.29%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.74%E -2.87%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.47%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -15.66%E -4.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 15:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +1.21%E +0.310%K +0.417%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.80%E +0.951%K +1.27%G +0.048% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 15:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.39%E -0.365%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.28%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -8.18%E -6.60%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -8.18%E -6.60%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -8.92%E -7.25%K -38.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +8.99%E +2.14%K +2.81%G +0.253% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.92%E -7.25%K -38.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.66%E -7.92%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -12.62%E -10.70%K -70.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +16.78%E +3.73%K +4.79%G +0.804% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.79% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |