StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sebastian Baez v Stan Wawrinka

Matchstart: 2026-04-06 11:10 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

58 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sebastian Baez (Hemma)

Prognos 68.15%1.47rättvist odds
EV -1.18%
Fördel -0.817%
Kelly -2.63%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
65.27%68.19%68.21%69.54%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.351.401.401.4574.07%71.51%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Stan Wawrinka (Borta)

Prognos 31.85%3.14rättvist odds
EV +1.29%
Fördel +0.405%
Kelly +0.590%
Tillväxt +0.008%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.18

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.46%31.81%31.79%34.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.602.902.923.1838.46%34.51%34.19%31.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Sebastian Baez (Hemma): 68.15%; Stan Wawrinka (Borta): 31.85%. För Stan Wawrinka (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.14. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.18, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.29%.

Spelbolagsodds (58 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV +1.29%E +0.405%K +0.590%G +0.008%2.9%2026-04-06 10:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +0.331%E +0.105%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.2%2026-04-06 10:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.331%E +0.105%K +0.154%G +0.001%4.2%2026-04-06 11:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.331%E +0.105%K +0.154%G +0.001%4.2%2026-04-06 11:05
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.23%E -2.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.85%E -0.936%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-06 10:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.23%E -2.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.85%E -0.936%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-06 10:57
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -3.81%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 10:15
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 10:50
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 10:05
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 10:15
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.27%E -3.79%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 10:19
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 11:05
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 11:05
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 11:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 10:20
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 10:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 10:59
ReBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.91%E -2.77%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 09:15
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 10:05
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 11:04
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 11:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 08:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 10:57
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.27%E -3.79%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:20
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 11:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 08:20
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -6.36%E -2.16%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 11:00
GTbets🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -3.91%E -2.77%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -7.31%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 06:50
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 11:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 08:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 11:04
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 22:10
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 10:05
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 11:04
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 11:05
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.27%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 09:20
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 10:20
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 11:00
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 11:05
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.18%E -0.817%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 10:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.18%E -0.817%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 10:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 09:55
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 09:55
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:00
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 09:55
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
LeoVegas🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -3.91%E -2.77%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -15.59%E -5.88%K -9.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -15.59%E -5.88%K -9.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 11:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -17.19%E -6.61%K -10.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 11:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-04-06 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-04-06 11:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-04-06 11:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-04-06 11:05
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-04-06 10:50
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.21%2.4%2026-04-06 11:05
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-04-06 11:05