La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Sebastian Baez v Stan Wawrinka
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Sebastian Baez (Casa)
Previsione 68.15%1.47quota equa
EV -1.18%
Vantaggio -0.817%
Kelly -2.63%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.45
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.27%68.19%68.21%69.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.351.401.401.4574.07%71.51%71.43%68.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Stan Wawrinka (Trasferta)
Previsione 31.85%3.14quota equa
EV +1.29%
Vantaggio +0.405%
Kelly +0.590%
Crescita +0.008%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.18
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.46%31.81%31.79%34.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.902.923.1838.46%34.51%34.19%31.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV +1.29%E +0.405%K +0.590%G +0.008% | 2.9% | 2026-04-06 10:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +0.331%E +0.105%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.331%E +0.105%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.331%E +0.105%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.23%E -2.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.85%E -0.936%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 10:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.23%E -2.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.85%E -0.936%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 10:57 |
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -3.81%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 10:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 10:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 10:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.27%E -3.79%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 10:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 10:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 10:20 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 10:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 10:59 |
| ReBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.91%E -2.77%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 10:05 |
| Betsson | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 11:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 11:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 08:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 10:57 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.27%E -3.79%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 10:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 08:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -6.36%E -2.16%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| GTbets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -3.91%E -2.77%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -7.31%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 06:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 08:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 11:04 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 22:10 |
| TAB | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 10:05 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 11:04 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.27%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 09:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 10:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Fliff | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Unibet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.18%E -0.817%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 10:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.18%E -0.817%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 10:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 09:55 |
| Casumo | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 09:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 10:00 |
| betPARX | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 10:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 10:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 09:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -3.91%E -2.77%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -15.59%E -5.88%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -15.59%E -5.88%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -17.19%E -6.61%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Novig | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.21% | 2.4% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 2.7% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |