Die Wettquotenschule

Sebastian Baez v Stan Wawrinka

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-06 11:10 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

58 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Sebastian Baez (Heim)

Prognose 68.15%1.47faire Quote
EV -1.18%
Vorteil -0.817%
Kelly -2.63%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
65.27%68.19%68.21%69.54%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.351.401.401.4574.07%71.51%71.43%68.97%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Stan Wawrinka (Auswärts)

Prognose 31.85%3.14faire Quote
EV +1.29%
Vorteil +0.405%
Kelly +0.590%
Wachstum +0.008%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.18

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.46%31.81%31.79%34.73%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.602.902.923.1838.46%34.51%34.19%31.45%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV +1.29%E +0.405%K +0.590%G +0.008%2.9%2026-04-06 10:15
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +0.331%E +0.105%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.2%2026-04-06 10:49
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.331%E +0.105%K +0.154%G +0.001%4.2%2026-04-06 11:05
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.331%E +0.105%K +0.154%G +0.001%4.2%2026-04-06 11:05
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.23%E -2.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.85%E -0.936%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-06 10:05
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.23%E -2.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.85%E -0.936%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-06 10:57
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -3.81%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 10:15
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 10:50
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 10:05
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 10:15
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.27%E -3.79%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 10:19
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 11:05
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:05
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 11:05
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 11:05
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 10:20
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 10:20
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 10:59
ReBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.91%E -2.77%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 09:15
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 10:05
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 11:04
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 11:04
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 08:20
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 10:57
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.27%E -3.79%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:20
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 11:05
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 08:20
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -6.36%E -2.16%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 11:00
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -3.91%E -2.77%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -7.31%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 06:50
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 11:00
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 08:20
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 11:04
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 22:10
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 10:05
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 11:04
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 11:05
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.27%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 09:20
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 10:20
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 11:00
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 11:05
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.18%E -0.817%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 10:00
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.18%E -0.817%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 10:00
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 09:55
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 09:55
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:00
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:00
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:00
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:00
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 09:55
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -3.91%E -2.77%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -15.59%E -5.88%K -9.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -15.59%E -5.88%K -9.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 11:00
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -17.19%E -6.61%K -10.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 11:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-04-06 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-04-06 11:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-04-06 11:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-04-06 11:05
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-04-06 10:50
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.21%2.4%2026-04-06 11:05
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-04-06 11:05