L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Sebastian Baez v Stan Wawrinka
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sebastian Baez (Local)
Prévision 68.15%1.47cote équitable
EV -1.18%
Avantage -0.817%
Kelly -2.63%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.27%68.19%68.21%69.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.351.401.401.4574.07%71.51%71.43%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Stan Wawrinka (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.85%3.14cote équitable
EV +1.29%
Avantage +0.405%
Kelly +0.590%
Croissance +0.008%
avec la cote maximale 3.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.46%31.81%31.79%34.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.902.923.1838.46%34.51%34.19%31.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV +1.29%E +0.405%K +0.590%G +0.008% | 2.9% | 2026-04-06 10:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +0.331%E +0.105%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.331%E +0.105%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.331%E +0.105%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.23%E -2.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.85%E -0.936%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 10:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.23%E -2.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.85%E -0.936%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 10:57 |
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -3.81%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 10:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 10:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 10:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.27%E -3.79%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 10:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 10:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 10:20 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 10:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 10:59 |
| ReBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.91%E -2.77%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 10:05 |
| Betsson | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 11:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 11:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 08:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 10:57 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.27%E -3.79%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 10:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 08:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -6.36%E -2.16%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| GTbets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -3.91%E -2.77%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -7.31%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 06:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 08:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 11:04 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 22:10 |
| TAB | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 10:05 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 11:04 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.27%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 09:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 10:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Fliff | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Unibet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.18%E -0.817%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 10:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.18%E -0.817%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 10:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 09:55 |
| Casumo | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 09:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 10:00 |
| betPARX | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 10:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 10:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 09:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -3.91%E -2.77%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -15.59%E -5.88%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -15.59%E -5.88%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -17.19%E -6.61%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Novig | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.21% | 2.4% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 2.7% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |