Школа коэффициентов

Sebastian Baez v Stan Wawrinka

Начало: 2026-04-06 11:10 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Sebastian Baez (Хозяева)

Прогноз 68.15%1.47справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.18%
Преимущество -0.817%
Kelly -2.63%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.45

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
65.27%68.19%68.21%69.54%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.351.401.401.4574.07%71.51%71.43%68.97%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Stan Wawrinka (Гости)

Прогноз 31.85%3.14справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.29%
Преимущество +0.405%
Kelly +0.590%
Рост +0.008%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.18

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.46%31.81%31.79%34.73%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.602.902.923.1838.46%34.51%34.19%31.45%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV +1.29%E +0.405%K +0.590%G +0.008%2.9%2026-04-06 10:15
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +0.331%E +0.105%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.2%2026-04-06 10:49
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.331%E +0.105%K +0.154%G +0.001%4.2%2026-04-06 11:05
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.331%E +0.105%K +0.154%G +0.001%4.2%2026-04-06 11:05
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.23%E -2.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.85%E -0.936%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-06 10:05
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.23%E -2.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.85%E -0.936%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-06 10:57
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -3.81%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 10:15
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 10:50
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 10:05
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 10:15
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.27%E -3.79%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 10:19
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 11:05
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:05
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 11:05
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 11:05
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 10:20
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 10:20
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 10:59
ReBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.91%E -2.77%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 09:15
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 10:05
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 11:04
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 11:04
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 08:20
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 10:57
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.27%E -3.79%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:20
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 11:05
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 08:20
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -6.36%E -2.16%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 11:00
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -3.91%E -2.77%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -7.31%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 06:50
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 11:00
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 08:20
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 11:04
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 22:10
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 10:05
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 11:04
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 11:05
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.27%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 09:20
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 10:20
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 11:00
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 11:05
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.18%E -0.817%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 10:00
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.18%E -0.817%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 10:00
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 09:55
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 09:55
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:00
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:00
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:00
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:00
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 09:55
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -3.91%E -2.77%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -15.59%E -5.88%K -9.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -15.59%E -5.88%K -9.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 11:00
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -17.19%E -6.61%K -10.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 11:00
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-04-06 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-04-06 11:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-04-06 11:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-04-06 11:05
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-04-06 10:50
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.21%2.4%2026-04-06 11:05
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-04-06 11:05