Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Sebastian Baez v Stan Wawrinka
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Sebastian Baez (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 68.15%1.47kurs godziwy
EV -1.18%
Przewaga -0.817%
Kelly -2.63%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.45
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
65.27%68.19%68.21%69.54%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.351.401.401.4574.07%71.51%71.43%68.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Stan Wawrinka (Goście)
Prognoza 31.85%3.14kurs godziwy
EV +1.29%
Przewaga +0.405%
Kelly +0.590%
Wzrost +0.008%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.18
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.46%31.81%31.79%34.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.602.902.923.1838.46%34.51%34.19%31.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (58 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV +1.29%E +0.405%K +0.590%G +0.008% | 2.9% | 2026-04-06 10:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +0.331%E +0.105%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.331%E +0.105%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.331%E +0.105%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.23%E -2.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.85%E -0.936%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 10:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.23%E -2.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.85%E -0.936%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 10:57 |
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -3.81%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 10:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 10:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 10:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.27%E -3.79%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 10:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 10:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 10:20 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 10:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 10:59 |
| ReBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.91%E -2.77%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 10:05 |
| Betsson | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 11:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 11:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 08:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 10:57 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.27%E -3.79%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 10:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 08:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -6.36%E -2.16%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| GTbets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -3.91%E -2.77%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -7.31%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 06:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 08:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 11:04 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 22:10 |
| TAB | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 10:05 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 11:04 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.27%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 09:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 10:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Fliff | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Unibet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.18%E -0.817%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 10:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.18%E -0.817%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 10:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 09:55 |
| Casumo | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 09:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 10:00 |
| betPARX | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 10:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 10:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.87%E -1.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 09:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -3.91%E -2.77%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -15.59%E -5.88%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -15.59%E -5.88%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -17.19%E -6.61%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Novig | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.21% | 2.4% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 2.7% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |