The School of Odds

Daniel Altmaier v Tomas Machac

Matchstart: 2026-04-06 13:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

58 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Daniel Altmaier (Hemma)

Prognos 37.65%2.66rättvist odds
EV +1.27%
Fördel +0.473%
Kelly +0.753%
Tillväxt +0.010%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.69

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.18%37.78%37.67%39.90%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.302.462.452.6943.48%40.61%40.82%37.17%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Tomas Machac (Borta)

Prognos 62.35%1.60rättvist odds
EV -1.48%
Fördel -0.939%
Kelly -2.56%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.58

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
60.10%62.22%62.33%64.82%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.451.531.541.5868.97%65.23%65.15%63.29%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (58 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
DraftKings2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV +1.27%E +0.473%K +0.753%G +0.010%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -8.97%E -6.14%K -19.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 13:25
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.36%E -0.520%K -0.841%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 13:15
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 13:25
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 13:20
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 13:25
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 13:19
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 13:19
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.72%E -5.22%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 13:25
LowVig.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.25%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 13:25
Betclic (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -3.25%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 13:18
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -3.62%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-06 13:20
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.00%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 13:20
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.00%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 13:20
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.75%E -1.88%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-06 13:19
GTbets2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.50%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.98%E -2.58%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 13:05
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 12:56
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:25
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:15
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:19
ReBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:01
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 13:25
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 13:25
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.59%E -6.61%K -21.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:25
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -7.01%E -2.84%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.72%E -5.22%K -16.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 13:25
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:00
FanDuel2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -8.89%E -3.67%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -1.48%E -0.939%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 13:00
SportsBet2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -9.27%E -3.85%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 13:00
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:00
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 13:00
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.98%E -2.58%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 13:25
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:25
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:00
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:19
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:20
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 13:00
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 13:00
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 13:00
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -5.85%E -3.87%K -11.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 13:25
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -10.77%E -4.55%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -10.77%E -4.55%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 13:25
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -13.41%E -5.83%K -10.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -7.72%E -5.22%K -16.08%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 13:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-06 13:25
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-06 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-06 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-06 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-06 13:20
ProphetX2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-06 13:20
Novig2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%2.5%2026-04-06 13:20