Langue:Français
Daniel Altmaier v Tomas Machac
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Daniel Altmaier (Local)
Prévision 37.65%2.66cote équitable
EV +1.27%
Avantage +0.473%
Kelly +0.753%
Croissance +0.010%
avec la cote maximale 2.69
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.18%37.78%37.67%39.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.462.452.6943.48%40.61%40.82%37.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Tomas Machac (Visiteur)
Prévision 62.35%1.60cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.939%
Kelly -2.56%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.58
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.10%62.22%62.33%64.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.451.531.541.5868.97%65.23%65.15%63.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Daniel Altmaier (Local) : 37.65% ; Tomas Machac (Visiteur) : 62.35%. Pour Daniel Altmaier (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.66. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.69, soit une espérance positive de +1.27%.
Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV +1.27%E +0.473%K +0.753%G +0.010% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -8.97%E -6.14%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.36%E -0.520%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.72%E -5.22%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.25%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -3.25%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 13:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -3.62%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.00%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.00%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.75%E -1.88%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.50%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.98%E -2.58%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 13:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 12:56 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 13:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.59%E -6.61%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -7.01%E -2.84%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.72%E -5.22%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -8.89%E -3.67%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -1.48%E -0.939%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -9.27%E -3.85%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.98%E -2.58%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -5.85%E -3.87%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -10.77%E -4.55%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -10.77%E -4.55%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -13.41%E -5.83%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -7.72%E -5.22%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33% | 2.5% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |