La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Daniel Altmaier v Tomas Machac
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Daniel Altmaier (Local)
Predicción 37.65%2.66momio equitativo
EV +1.27%
Ventaja +0.473%
Kelly +0.753%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.18%37.78%37.67%39.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.462.452.6943.48%40.61%40.82%37.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tomas Machac (Visitante)
Predicción 62.35%1.60momio equitativo
EV -1.48%
Ventaja -0.939%
Kelly -2.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.10%62.22%62.33%64.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.531.541.5868.97%65.23%65.15%63.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV +1.27%E +0.473%K +0.753%G +0.010% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -8.97%E -6.14%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.36%E -0.520%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| Betsson | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.72%E -5.22%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.25%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -3.25%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 13:18 |
| Pinnacle | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -3.62%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.00%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.00%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.75%E -1.88%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| GTbets | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.50%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.98%E -2.58%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 13:05 |
| Bovada | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 12:56 |
| Bet Right | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| ReBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 13:01 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.59%E -6.61%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -7.01%E -2.84%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.72%E -5.22%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -8.89%E -3.67%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -1.48%E -0.939%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -9.27%E -3.85%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.98%E -2.58%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Fliff | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -5.85%E -3.87%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -10.77%E -4.55%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -10.77%E -4.55%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Caesars | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Neds | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -13.41%E -5.83%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -7.72%E -5.22%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| ProphetX | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| Novig | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33% | 2.5% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |