Die Wettquotenschule

Daniel Altmaier v Tomas Machac

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-06 13:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

58 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Daniel Altmaier (Heim)

Prognose 37.65%2.66faire Quote
EV +1.27%
Vorteil +0.473%
Kelly +0.753%
Wachstum +0.010%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.69

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
35.18%37.78%37.67%39.90%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.302.462.452.6943.48%40.61%40.82%37.17%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Tomas Machac (Auswärts)

Prognose 62.35%1.60faire Quote
EV -1.48%
Vorteil -0.939%
Kelly -2.56%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.58

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
60.10%62.22%62.33%64.82%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.451.531.541.5868.97%65.23%65.15%63.29%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
DraftKings2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV +1.27%E +0.473%K +0.753%G +0.010%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -8.97%E -6.14%K -19.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 13:25
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.36%E -0.520%K -0.841%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 13:15
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 13:25
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 13:20
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 13:25
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 13:19
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 13:19
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.72%E -5.22%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 13:25
LowVig.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.25%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 13:25
Betclic (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -3.25%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 13:18
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -3.62%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-06 13:20
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.00%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 13:20
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.00%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 13:20
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.75%E -1.88%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-06 13:19
GTbets2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.50%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.98%E -2.58%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 13:05
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 12:56
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:25
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:15
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:19
ReBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:01
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 13:25
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 13:25
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.59%E -6.61%K -21.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:25
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -7.01%E -2.84%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.72%E -5.22%K -16.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 13:25
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:00
FanDuel2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -8.89%E -3.67%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -1.48%E -0.939%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 13:00
SportsBet2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -9.27%E -3.85%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 13:00
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:00
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 13:00
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.98%E -2.58%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 13:25
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:25
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:00
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:19
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:20
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 13:00
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 13:00
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 13:00
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -5.85%E -3.87%K -11.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 13:25
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -10.77%E -4.55%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -10.77%E -4.55%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 13:25
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -13.41%E -5.83%K -10.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -7.72%E -5.22%K -16.08%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 13:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-06 13:25
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-06 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-06 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-06 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-06 13:20
ProphetX2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-06 13:20
Novig2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%2.5%2026-04-06 13:20