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Daniel Altmaier v Tomas Machac
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Daniel Altmaier (Хозяева)
Прогноз 37.65%2.66справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.27%
Преимущество +0.473%
Kelly +0.753%
Рост +0.010%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.69
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
35.18%37.78%37.67%39.90%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.302.462.452.6943.48%40.61%40.82%37.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Tomas Machac (Гости)
Прогноз 62.35%1.60справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.48%
Преимущество -0.939%
Kelly -2.56%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.58
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
60.10%62.22%62.33%64.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.451.531.541.5868.97%65.23%65.15%63.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Daniel Altmaier (Хозяева): 37.65%; Tomas Machac (Гости): 62.35%. Для исхода «Daniel Altmaier (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.66. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.69, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.27%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV +1.27%E +0.473%K +0.753%G +0.010% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -8.97%E -6.14%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.36%E -0.520%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.72%E -5.22%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.25%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -3.25%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 13:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -3.62%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.00%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.00%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.75%E -1.88%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.50%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.98%E -2.58%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 13:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 12:56 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 13:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.59%E -6.61%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -7.01%E -2.84%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.72%E -5.22%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -8.89%E -3.67%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -1.48%E -0.939%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -9.27%E -3.85%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.98%E -2.58%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -5.85%E -3.87%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -10.77%E -4.55%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -10.77%E -4.55%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -13.41%E -5.83%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -7.72%E -5.22%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33% | 2.5% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |