Szkoła Kursów

Daniel Altmaier v Tomas Machac

Początek: 2026-04-06 13:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

58 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Daniel Altmaier (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 37.65%2.66kurs godziwy
EV +1.27%
Przewaga +0.473%
Kelly +0.753%
Wzrost +0.010%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.69

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
35.18%37.78%37.67%39.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.462.452.6943.48%40.61%40.82%37.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Tomas Machac (Goście)

Prognoza 62.35%1.60kurs godziwy
EV -1.48%
Przewaga -0.939%
Kelly -2.56%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.58

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
60.10%62.22%62.33%64.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.451.531.541.5868.97%65.23%65.15%63.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (58 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
DraftKings2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV +1.27%E +0.473%K +0.753%G +0.010%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -8.97%E -6.14%K -19.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 13:25
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.36%E -0.520%K -0.841%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 13:15
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 13:25
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 13:20
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 13:25
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 13:19
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 13:19
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.72%E -5.22%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 13:25
LowVig.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.25%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 13:25
Betclic (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -3.25%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 13:18
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -3.62%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-06 13:20
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.00%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 13:20
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.00%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 13:20
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.75%E -1.88%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-06 13:19
GTbets2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.50%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.98%E -2.58%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 13:05
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 12:56
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:25
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:15
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:19
ReBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:01
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 13:25
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 13:25
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.59%E -6.61%K -21.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:25
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -7.01%E -2.84%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.72%E -5.22%K -16.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 13:25
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:00
FanDuel2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -8.89%E -3.67%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -1.48%E -0.939%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 13:00
SportsBet2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -9.27%E -3.85%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 13:00
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:00
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 13:00
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.98%E -2.58%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 13:25
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:25
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:00
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:19
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:20
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 13:00
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 13:00
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 13:00
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -5.85%E -3.87%K -11.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 13:25
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -10.77%E -4.55%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -10.77%E -4.55%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 13:25
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -13.41%E -5.83%K -10.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -7.72%E -5.22%K -16.08%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 13:25
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-06 13:25
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-06 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-06 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-06 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-06 13:20
ProphetX2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-06 13:20
Novig2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%2.5%2026-04-06 13:20