Język:Polski
Daniel Altmaier v Tomas Machac
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Daniel Altmaier (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 37.65%2.66kurs godziwy
EV +1.27%
Przewaga +0.473%
Kelly +0.753%
Wzrost +0.010%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.69
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
35.18%37.78%37.67%39.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.462.452.6943.48%40.61%40.82%37.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Tomas Machac (Goście)
Prognoza 62.35%1.60kurs godziwy
EV -1.48%
Przewaga -0.939%
Kelly -2.56%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.58
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
60.10%62.22%62.33%64.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.451.531.541.5868.97%65.23%65.15%63.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Daniel Altmaier (Gospodarze): 37.65%; Tomas Machac (Goście): 62.35%. Dla wyniku Daniel Altmaier (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.66. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.69, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.27%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (58 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV +1.27%E +0.473%K +0.753%G +0.010% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -8.97%E -6.14%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.36%E -0.520%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.72%E -5.22%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.25%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -3.25%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 13:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -3.62%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.00%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.00%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.75%E -1.88%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.50%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.98%E -2.58%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 13:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 12:56 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 13:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.59%E -6.61%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -7.01%E -2.84%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.72%E -5.22%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -8.89%E -3.67%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -1.48%E -0.939%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -9.27%E -3.85%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.98%E -2.58%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -5.85%E -3.87%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -10.77%E -4.55%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -10.77%E -4.55%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -13.41%E -5.83%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -7.72%E -5.22%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33% | 2.5% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |