مدرسة الاحتمالات

Daniel Altmaier v Tomas Machac

البداية: 2026-04-06 13:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Daniel Altmaier (المضيف)

التنبؤ 37.65%2.66السعر العادل
EV +1.27%
الأفضلية +0.473%
Kelly +0.753%
النمو +0.010%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.18%37.78%37.67%39.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.462.452.6943.48%40.61%40.82%37.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Tomas Machac (الضيف)

التنبؤ 62.35%1.60السعر العادل
EV -1.48%
الأفضلية -0.939%
Kelly -2.56%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.58

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.10%62.22%62.33%64.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.451.531.541.5868.97%65.23%65.15%63.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV +1.27%E +0.473%K +0.753%G +0.010%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -8.97%E -6.14%K -19.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 13:25
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.36%E -0.520%K -0.841%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 13:15
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 13:25
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 13:20
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 13:25
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 13:19
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 13:19
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.12%E -0.814%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.72%E -5.22%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 13:25
LowVig.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.25%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 13:25
Betclic (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -3.25%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 13:18
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -3.62%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-06 13:20
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.00%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 13:20
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.00%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 13:20
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.75%E -1.88%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-06 13:19
GTbets2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.50%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.98%E -2.58%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 13:05
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 12:56
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:25
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:15
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:19
ReBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:01
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 13:25
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 13:25
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.59%E -6.61%K -21.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:25
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -7.01%E -2.84%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.72%E -5.22%K -16.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 13:25
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:00
FanDuel2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -8.89%E -3.67%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -1.48%E -0.939%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 13:00
SportsBet2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -9.27%E -3.85%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 13:00
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:00
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 13:00
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.98%E -2.58%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 13:25
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:25
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:00
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:19
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:20
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 13:00
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 13:00
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 13:00
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -5.85%E -3.87%K -11.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 13:25
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.40%E -4.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -10.77%E -4.55%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -10.77%E -4.55%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -5.22%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -11.53%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 13:25
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -13.41%E -5.83%K -10.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -7.72%E -5.22%K -16.08%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 13:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-06 13:25
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-06 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-06 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-06 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-06 13:20
ProphetX2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-06 13:20
Novig2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%2.5%2026-04-06 13:20