赔率学院

Carlos Alcaraz v Valentin Vacherot

开赛时间: 2026-04-11 13:45 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

61 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (主队)

预测 89.69%1.11公平赔率
EV -3.14%
优势 -2.90%
Kelly -39.21%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.08

博彩公司预测分布
86.85%89.72%89.64%92.32%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.011.051.051.0899.01%95.40%95.24%92.59%MIN均值中位数MAX

Valentin Vacherot (客队)

预测 10.31%9.70公平赔率
EV +28.89%
优势 +2.31%
Kelly +2.51%
增长率 +0.726%

假设最高赔率为 12.50

博彩公司预测分布
7.68%10.28%10.36%13.15%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
7.009.959.9912.5014.29%10.05%10.01%8.00%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Unibet (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +28.89%E +2.31%K +2.51%G +0.726%4.2%2026-04-11 13:40
Casumo1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +28.89%E +2.31%K +2.51%G +0.726%4.2%2026-04-11 13:39
Svenska Spel1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +28.89%E +2.31%K +2.51%G +0.726%4.2%2026-04-11 13:40
DraftKings1.06I 94.34%NM 92.12%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%12.40I 8.06%NM 7.88%EV +27.86%E +2.25%K +2.44%G +0.681%2.4%2026-04-11 13:40
betPARX1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +23.74%E +1.98%K +2.16%G +0.512%3.6%2026-04-11 13:40
ATG (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +23.74%E +1.98%K +2.16%G +0.512%3.6%2026-04-11 13:40
Pinnacle1.07I 93.46%NM 91.63%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%11.71I 8.54%NM 8.37%EV +20.75%E +1.77%K +1.94%G +0.402%2.0%2026-04-11 13:35
Bally Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329%4.8%2026-04-11 13:39
TABtouch1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329%5.8%2026-04-11 13:40
Grosvenor1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329%6.7%2026-04-11 13:39
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329%6.7%2026-04-11 13:40
1xBet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%4.3%2026-04-11 13:20
Bovada1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%4.3%2026-04-11 13:34
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%5.2%2026-04-11 13:10
Unibet (NL)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%5.2%2026-04-11 13:10
Hard Rock Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%5.2%2026-04-11 13:10
LiveScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%6.2%2026-04-11 13:40
BetRivers1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%6.2%2026-04-11 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -9.41%E -9.32%K -941.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%8.1%2026-04-11 13:40
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -9.41%E -9.32%K -941.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%8.1%2026-04-11 13:40
Unibet (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072%3.9%2026-04-11 13:39
Unibet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072%4.8%2026-04-11 13:25
Winamax (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072%5.7%2026-04-11 13:39
PMU (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072%7.6%2026-04-11 13:10
NetBet (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072%7.6%2026-04-11 10:55
Fliff1.01I 99.01%NM 91.07%EV -9.41%E -9.32%K -941.47%G +0.000%10.30I 9.71%NM 8.93%EV +6.21%E +0.603%K +0.668%G +0.041%8.7%2026-04-11 13:40
PointsBet (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011%4.3%2026-04-11 13:35
Coral1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-11 13:39
BetUS1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011%6.2%2026-04-11 01:29
SportsBet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011%7.1%2026-04-11 13:35
GTbets1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%9.99I 10.01%NM 9.67%EV +3.01%E +0.302%K +0.335%G +0.010%3.5%2026-04-11 13:10
ReBet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.24%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.76%EV +1.05%E +0.108%K +0.120%G +0.001%4.5%2026-04-11 13:25
LowVig.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +0.435%E +0.045%K +0.050%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 04:35
BetOnline.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +0.435%E +0.045%K +0.050%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 04:35
Bet Right1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 13:25
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 20:30
Betsson1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 13:40
Coolbet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -4.62%E -0.499%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:40
Betr (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -4.62%E -0.499%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 12:24
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.14%E -2.90%K -39.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 13:40
Betway1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 13:35
Winamax (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 13:40
William Hill1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 18:40
Betclic (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:32
888sport (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 20:30
Neds1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 20:30
BetMGM1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 13:39
Paddy Power1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -12.35%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:40
Tipico (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -12.35%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:40
Everygame1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -12.35%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 12:30
theScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -14.93%E -1.81%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:40
NordicBet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -14.93%E -1.81%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:40
PlayUp1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 13:35
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:40
Caesars1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:40
Fanatics1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:34
TAB1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -22.66%E -3.02%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:40
Bet Victor1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -27.82%E -3.97%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 13:33
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-04-11 13:40
ProphetX1.10I 90.91%NM 90.00%9.90I 10.10%NM 10.00%1.0%2026-04-11 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-04-11 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-04-11 13:40
Matchbook1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-04-11 13:40
Smarkets1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%3.5%2026-04-11 13:39
Novig1.04I 96.15%NM 90.66%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.34%6.1%2026-04-11 13:40