Школа коэффициентов

Carlos Alcaraz v Valentin Vacherot

Начало: 2026-04-11 13:45 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

61 букмекерская контора (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Хозяева)

Прогноз 89.69%1.11справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.14%
Преимущество -2.90%
Kelly -39.21%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.08

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
86.85%89.72%89.64%92.32%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.011.051.051.0899.01%95.40%95.24%92.59%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Valentin Vacherot (Гости)

Прогноз 10.31%9.70справедливый коэффициент
EV +28.89%
Преимущество +2.31%
Kelly +2.51%
Рост +0.726%

при максимальном коэффициенте 12.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
7.68%10.28%10.36%13.15%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
7.009.959.9912.5014.29%10.05%10.01%8.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (61 букмекерская контора)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
Unibet (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +28.89%E +2.31%K +2.51%G +0.726%4.2%2026-04-11 13:40
Casumo1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +28.89%E +2.31%K +2.51%G +0.726%4.2%2026-04-11 13:39
Svenska Spel1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +28.89%E +2.31%K +2.51%G +0.726%4.2%2026-04-11 13:40
DraftKings1.06I 94.34%NM 92.12%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%12.40I 8.06%NM 7.88%EV +27.86%E +2.25%K +2.44%G +0.681%2.4%2026-04-11 13:40
betPARX1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +23.74%E +1.98%K +2.16%G +0.512%3.6%2026-04-11 13:40
ATG (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +23.74%E +1.98%K +2.16%G +0.512%3.6%2026-04-11 13:40
Pinnacle1.07I 93.46%NM 91.63%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%11.71I 8.54%NM 8.37%EV +20.75%E +1.77%K +1.94%G +0.402%2.0%2026-04-11 13:35
Bally Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329%4.8%2026-04-11 13:39
TABtouch1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329%5.8%2026-04-11 13:40
Grosvenor1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329%6.7%2026-04-11 13:39
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329%6.7%2026-04-11 13:40
1xBet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%4.3%2026-04-11 13:20
Bovada1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%4.3%2026-04-11 13:34
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%5.2%2026-04-11 13:10
Unibet (NL)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%5.2%2026-04-11 13:10
Hard Rock Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%5.2%2026-04-11 13:10
LiveScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%6.2%2026-04-11 13:40
BetRivers1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%6.2%2026-04-11 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -9.41%E -9.32%K -941.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%8.1%2026-04-11 13:40
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -9.41%E -9.32%K -941.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%8.1%2026-04-11 13:40
Unibet (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072%3.9%2026-04-11 13:39
Unibet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072%4.8%2026-04-11 13:25
Winamax (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072%5.7%2026-04-11 13:39
PMU (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072%7.6%2026-04-11 13:10
NetBet (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072%7.6%2026-04-11 10:55
Fliff1.01I 99.01%NM 91.07%EV -9.41%E -9.32%K -941.47%G +0.000%10.30I 9.71%NM 8.93%EV +6.21%E +0.603%K +0.668%G +0.041%8.7%2026-04-11 13:40
PointsBet (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011%4.3%2026-04-11 13:35
Coral1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-11 13:39
BetUS1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011%6.2%2026-04-11 01:29
SportsBet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011%7.1%2026-04-11 13:35
GTbets1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%9.99I 10.01%NM 9.67%EV +3.01%E +0.302%K +0.335%G +0.010%3.5%2026-04-11 13:10
ReBet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.24%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.76%EV +1.05%E +0.108%K +0.120%G +0.001%4.5%2026-04-11 13:25
LowVig.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +0.435%E +0.045%K +0.050%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 04:35
BetOnline.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +0.435%E +0.045%K +0.050%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 04:35
Bet Right1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 13:25
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 20:30
Betsson1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 13:40
Coolbet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -4.62%E -0.499%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:40
Betr (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -4.62%E -0.499%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 12:24
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.14%E -2.90%K -39.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 13:40
Betway1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 13:35
Winamax (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 13:40
William Hill1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 18:40
Betclic (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:32
888sport (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 20:30
Neds1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 20:30
BetMGM1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 13:39
Paddy Power1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -12.35%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:40
Tipico (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -12.35%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:40
Everygame1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -12.35%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 12:30
theScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -14.93%E -1.81%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:40
NordicBet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -14.93%E -1.81%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:40
PlayUp1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 13:35
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:40
Caesars1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:40
Fanatics1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:34
TAB1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -22.66%E -3.02%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:40
Bet Victor1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -27.82%E -3.97%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 13:33
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-04-11 13:40
ProphetX1.10I 90.91%NM 90.00%9.90I 10.10%NM 10.00%1.0%2026-04-11 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-04-11 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-04-11 13:40
Matchbook1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-04-11 13:40
Smarkets1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%3.5%2026-04-11 13:39
Novig1.04I 96.15%NM 90.66%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.34%6.1%2026-04-11 13:40