L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Carlos Alcaraz v Valentin Vacherot
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Carlos Alcaraz (Local)
Prévision 89.69%1.11cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -2.90%
Kelly -39.21%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
86.85%89.72%89.64%92.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.011.051.051.0899.01%95.40%95.24%92.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Valentin Vacherot (Visiteur)
Prévision 10.31%9.70cote équitable
EV +28.89%
Avantage +2.31%
Kelly +2.51%
Croissance +0.726%
avec la cote maximale 12.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.68%10.28%10.36%13.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.009.959.9912.5014.29%10.05%10.01%8.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +28.89%E +2.31%K +2.51%G +0.726% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Casumo | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +28.89%E +2.31%K +2.51%G +0.726% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +28.89%E +2.31%K +2.51%G +0.726% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.12%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 12.40I 8.06%NM 7.88%EV +27.86%E +2.25%K +2.44%G +0.681% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| betPARX | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +23.74%E +1.98%K +2.16%G +0.512% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +23.74%E +1.98%K +2.16%G +0.512% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.63%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 11.71I 8.54%NM 8.37%EV +20.75%E +1.77%K +1.94%G +0.402% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| Bovada | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Unibet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -9.41%E -9.32%K -941.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -9.41%E -9.32%K -941.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 10:55 |
| Fliff | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.07%EV -9.41%E -9.32%K -941.47%G +0.000% | 10.30I 9.71%NM 8.93%EV +6.21%E +0.603%K +0.668%G +0.041% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Coral | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| BetUS | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 01:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| GTbets | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 9.99I 10.01%NM 9.67%EV +3.01%E +0.302%K +0.335%G +0.010% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 13:10 |
| ReBet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.24%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.76%EV +1.05%E +0.108%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +0.435%E +0.045%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 04:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +0.435%E +0.045%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 04:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 20:30 |
| Betsson | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -4.62%E -0.499%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -4.62%E -0.499%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 12:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.14%E -2.90%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Betway | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| William Hill | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 13:32 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 20:30 |
| Neds | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 20:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -12.35%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -12.35%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Everygame | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -12.35%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 12:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -14.93%E -1.81%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -14.93%E -1.81%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| 888sport | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Caesars | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| TAB | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -22.66%E -3.02%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -27.82%E -3.97%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 13:33 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| ProphetX | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.00% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 10.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Novig | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.66% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.34% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |