مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Carlos Alcaraz v Valentin Vacherot
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Carlos Alcaraz (المضيف)
التنبؤ 89.69%1.11السعر العادل
EV -3.14%
الأفضلية -2.90%
Kelly -39.21%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.08
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
86.85%89.72%89.64%92.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.011.051.051.0899.01%95.40%95.24%92.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Valentin Vacherot (الضيف)
التنبؤ 10.31%9.70السعر العادل
EV +28.89%
الأفضلية +2.31%
Kelly +2.51%
النمو +0.726%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 12.50
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
7.68%10.28%10.36%13.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
7.009.959.9912.5014.29%10.05%10.01%8.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +28.89%E +2.31%K +2.51%G +0.726% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Casumo | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +28.89%E +2.31%K +2.51%G +0.726% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +28.89%E +2.31%K +2.51%G +0.726% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.12%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 12.40I 8.06%NM 7.88%EV +27.86%E +2.25%K +2.44%G +0.681% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| betPARX | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +23.74%E +1.98%K +2.16%G +0.512% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +23.74%E +1.98%K +2.16%G +0.512% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.63%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 11.71I 8.54%NM 8.37%EV +20.75%E +1.77%K +1.94%G +0.402% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| Bovada | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Unibet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -9.41%E -9.32%K -941.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -9.41%E -9.32%K -941.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 10:55 |
| Fliff | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.07%EV -9.41%E -9.32%K -941.47%G +0.000% | 10.30I 9.71%NM 8.93%EV +6.21%E +0.603%K +0.668%G +0.041% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Coral | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| BetUS | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 01:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| GTbets | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 9.99I 10.01%NM 9.67%EV +3.01%E +0.302%K +0.335%G +0.010% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 13:10 |
| ReBet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.24%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.76%EV +1.05%E +0.108%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +0.435%E +0.045%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 04:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +0.435%E +0.045%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 04:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 20:30 |
| Betsson | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -4.62%E -0.499%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -4.62%E -0.499%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 12:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.14%E -2.90%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Betway | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| William Hill | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 13:32 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 20:30 |
| Neds | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 20:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -12.35%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -12.35%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Everygame | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -12.35%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 12:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -14.93%E -1.81%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -14.93%E -1.81%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| 888sport | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Caesars | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| TAB | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -22.66%E -3.02%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -27.82%E -3.97%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 13:33 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (7)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| ProphetX | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.00% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 10.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Novig | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.66% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.34% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |