Lingua:Italiano
Carlos Alcaraz v Valentin Vacherot
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Carlos Alcaraz (Casa)
Previsione 89.69%1.11quota equa
EV -3.14%
Vantaggio -2.90%
Kelly -39.21%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.08
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
86.85%89.72%89.64%92.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.011.051.051.0899.01%95.40%95.24%92.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Valentin Vacherot (Trasferta)
Previsione 10.31%9.70quota equa
EV +28.89%
Vantaggio +2.31%
Kelly +2.51%
Crescita +0.726%
ipotizzando la quota massima 12.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.68%10.28%10.36%13.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
7.009.959.9912.5014.29%10.05%10.01%8.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Carlos Alcaraz (Casa): 89.69%; Valentin Vacherot (Trasferta): 10.31%. Per Valentin Vacherot (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 9.70. 34 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 12.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +28.89%.
Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +28.89%E +2.31%K +2.51%G +0.726% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +28.89%E +2.31%K +2.51%G +0.726% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +28.89%E +2.31%K +2.51%G +0.726% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.12%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 12.40I 8.06%NM 7.88%EV +27.86%E +2.25%K +2.44%G +0.681% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +23.74%E +1.98%K +2.16%G +0.512% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +23.74%E +1.98%K +2.16%G +0.512% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.63%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 11.71I 8.54%NM 8.37%EV +20.75%E +1.77%K +1.94%G +0.402% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -9.41%E -9.32%K -941.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -9.41%E -9.32%K -941.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 10:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.07%EV -9.41%E -9.32%K -941.47%G +0.000% | 10.30I 9.71%NM 8.93%EV +6.21%E +0.603%K +0.668%G +0.041% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 01:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 9.99I 10.01%NM 9.67%EV +3.01%E +0.302%K +0.335%G +0.010% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 13:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.24%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.76%EV +1.05%E +0.108%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +0.435%E +0.045%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 04:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +0.435%E +0.045%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 04:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 20:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -4.62%E -0.499%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -4.62%E -0.499%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 12:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.14%E -2.90%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 13:32 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 20:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 20:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -12.35%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -12.35%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -12.35%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 12:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -14.93%E -1.81%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -14.93%E -1.81%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -22.66%E -3.02%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -27.82%E -3.97%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 13:33 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.00% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 10.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.66% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.34% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |