Die Wettquotenschule

Carlos Alcaraz v Valentin Vacherot

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-11 13:45 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Heim)

Prognose 89.69%1.11faire Quote
EV -3.14%
Vorteil -2.90%
Kelly -39.21%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.08

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
86.85%89.72%89.64%92.32%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.011.051.051.0899.01%95.40%95.24%92.59%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Valentin Vacherot (Auswärts)

Prognose 10.31%9.70faire Quote
EV +28.89%
Vorteil +2.31%
Kelly +2.51%
Wachstum +0.726%

bei einer Höchstquote von 12.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
7.68%10.28%10.36%13.15%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
7.009.959.9912.5014.29%10.05%10.01%8.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Unibet (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +28.89%E +2.31%K +2.51%G +0.726%4.2%2026-04-11 13:40
Casumo1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +28.89%E +2.31%K +2.51%G +0.726%4.2%2026-04-11 13:39
Svenska Spel1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +28.89%E +2.31%K +2.51%G +0.726%4.2%2026-04-11 13:40
DraftKings1.06I 94.34%NM 92.12%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%12.40I 8.06%NM 7.88%EV +27.86%E +2.25%K +2.44%G +0.681%2.4%2026-04-11 13:40
betPARX1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +23.74%E +1.98%K +2.16%G +0.512%3.6%2026-04-11 13:40
ATG (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +23.74%E +1.98%K +2.16%G +0.512%3.6%2026-04-11 13:40
Pinnacle1.07I 93.46%NM 91.63%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%11.71I 8.54%NM 8.37%EV +20.75%E +1.77%K +1.94%G +0.402%2.0%2026-04-11 13:35
Bally Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329%4.8%2026-04-11 13:39
TABtouch1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329%5.8%2026-04-11 13:40
Grosvenor1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329%6.7%2026-04-11 13:39
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329%6.7%2026-04-11 13:40
1xBet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%4.3%2026-04-11 13:20
Bovada1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%4.3%2026-04-11 13:34
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%5.2%2026-04-11 13:10
Unibet (NL)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%5.2%2026-04-11 13:10
Hard Rock Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%5.2%2026-04-11 13:10
LiveScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%6.2%2026-04-11 13:40
BetRivers1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%6.2%2026-04-11 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -9.41%E -9.32%K -941.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%8.1%2026-04-11 13:40
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -9.41%E -9.32%K -941.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%8.1%2026-04-11 13:40
Unibet (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072%3.9%2026-04-11 13:39
Unibet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072%4.8%2026-04-11 13:25
Winamax (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072%5.7%2026-04-11 13:39
PMU (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072%7.6%2026-04-11 13:10
NetBet (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072%7.6%2026-04-11 10:55
Fliff1.01I 99.01%NM 91.07%EV -9.41%E -9.32%K -941.47%G +0.000%10.30I 9.71%NM 8.93%EV +6.21%E +0.603%K +0.668%G +0.041%8.7%2026-04-11 13:40
PointsBet (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011%4.3%2026-04-11 13:35
Coral1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-11 13:39
BetUS1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011%6.2%2026-04-11 01:29
SportsBet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011%7.1%2026-04-11 13:35
GTbets1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%9.99I 10.01%NM 9.67%EV +3.01%E +0.302%K +0.335%G +0.010%3.5%2026-04-11 13:10
ReBet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.24%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.76%EV +1.05%E +0.108%K +0.120%G +0.001%4.5%2026-04-11 13:25
LowVig.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +0.435%E +0.045%K +0.050%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 04:35
BetOnline.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +0.435%E +0.045%K +0.050%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 04:35
Bet Right1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 13:25
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 20:30
Betsson1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 13:40
Coolbet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -4.62%E -0.499%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:40
Betr (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -4.62%E -0.499%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 12:24
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.14%E -2.90%K -39.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 13:40
Betway1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 13:35
Winamax (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 13:40
William Hill1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 18:40
Betclic (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:32
888sport (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 20:30
Neds1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 20:30
BetMGM1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 13:39
Paddy Power1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -12.35%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:40
Tipico (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -12.35%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:40
Everygame1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -12.35%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 12:30
theScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -14.93%E -1.81%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:40
NordicBet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -14.93%E -1.81%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:40
PlayUp1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 13:35
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:40
Caesars1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:40
Fanatics1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:34
TAB1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -22.66%E -3.02%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:40
Bet Victor1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -27.82%E -3.97%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 13:33
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-04-11 13:40
ProphetX1.10I 90.91%NM 90.00%9.90I 10.10%NM 10.00%1.0%2026-04-11 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-04-11 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-04-11 13:40
Matchbook1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-04-11 13:40
Smarkets1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%3.5%2026-04-11 13:39
Novig1.04I 96.15%NM 90.66%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.34%6.1%2026-04-11 13:40