Sprache:Deutsch
Carlos Alcaraz v Valentin Vacherot
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Carlos Alcaraz (Heim)
Prognose 89.69%1.11faire Quote
EV -3.14%
Vorteil -2.90%
Kelly -39.21%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.08
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
86.85%89.72%89.64%92.32%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.011.051.051.0899.01%95.40%95.24%92.59%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Valentin Vacherot (Auswärts)
Prognose 10.31%9.70faire Quote
EV +28.89%
Vorteil +2.31%
Kelly +2.51%
Wachstum +0.726%
bei einer Höchstquote von 12.50
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
7.68%10.28%10.36%13.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
7.009.959.9912.5014.29%10.05%10.01%8.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Carlos Alcaraz (Heim): 89.69%; Valentin Vacherot (Auswärts): 10.31%. Für Valentin Vacherot (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 9.70. 34 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 12.50 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +28.89%.
Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +28.89%E +2.31%K +2.51%G +0.726% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +28.89%E +2.31%K +2.51%G +0.726% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +28.89%E +2.31%K +2.51%G +0.726% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.12%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 12.40I 8.06%NM 7.88%EV +27.86%E +2.25%K +2.44%G +0.681% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +23.74%E +1.98%K +2.16%G +0.512% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +23.74%E +1.98%K +2.16%G +0.512% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.63%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 11.71I 8.54%NM 8.37%EV +20.75%E +1.77%K +1.94%G +0.402% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +18.58%E +1.62%K +1.77%G +0.329% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -9.41%E -9.32%K -941.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -9.41%E -9.32%K -941.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +13.43%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -8.52%E -8.35%K -425.89%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +8.27%E +0.788%K +0.871%G +0.072% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 10:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.07%EV -9.41%E -9.32%K -941.47%G +0.000% | 10.30I 9.71%NM 8.93%EV +6.21%E +0.603%K +0.668%G +0.041% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 01:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.62%E -7.40%K -254.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +3.12%E +0.312%K +0.346%G +0.011% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 9.99I 10.01%NM 9.67%EV +3.01%E +0.302%K +0.335%G +0.010% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 13:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.24%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.76%EV +1.05%E +0.108%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +0.435%E +0.045%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 04:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +0.435%E +0.045%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 04:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 20:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.04%E -0.215%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -4.62%E -0.499%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -4.62%E -0.499%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 12:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.14%E -2.90%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 13:32 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 20:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 20:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -12.35%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -12.35%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.72%E -6.47%K -168.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -12.35%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 12:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -14.93%E -1.81%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -14.93%E -1.81%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -22.66%E -3.02%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -27.82%E -3.97%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 13:33 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.00% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 10.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.66% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.34% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |