StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Valentin Vacherot v Arthur Fils

Matchstart: 2026-03-24 18:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Valentin Vacherot (Hemma)

Prognos 30.50%3.28rättvist odds
EV +2.18%
Fördel +0.652%
Kelly +0.929%
Tillväxt +0.020%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.80%30.56%30.49%32.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.903.113.133.3534.48%32.14%31.90%29.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Fils (Borta)

Prognos 69.50%1.44rättvist odds
EV -2.70%
Fördel -1.93%
Kelly -6.76%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
67.76%69.44%69.51%72.20%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.291.361.361.4077.52%73.67%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Valentin Vacherot (Hemma): 30.50%; Arthur Fils (Borta): 69.50%. För Valentin Vacherot (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.28. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.35, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.18%.

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +2.18%E +0.652%K +0.929%G +0.020%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-24 17:54
SportsBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV +2.18%E +0.652%K +0.929%G +0.020%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -10.35%E -8.02%K -35.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 17:54
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.658%E +0.200%K +0.286%G +0.002%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 17:55
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.658%E +0.200%K +0.286%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 17:55
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 17:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 17:14
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 17:14
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 06:53
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:54
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -2.70%E -0.845%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.00%E -0.944%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 17:44
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.70%E -1.93%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-24 17:44
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 17:14
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 09:14
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:15
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:14
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:14
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:14
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:14
Bally Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:14
ReBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 15:14
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 17:55
NetBet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 17:29
BetOnline.ag🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 17:54
GTbets🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -4.53%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 17:40
DraftKings🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.83%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 17:50
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 17:55
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 21:38
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 21:39
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 21:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 21:40
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 04:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:49
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:49
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:49
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:49
1xBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -7.27%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -3.40%E -2.45%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 17:49
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:45
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 17:49
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 17:55
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 10:59
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-24 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-24 17:49
Fliff🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.26%E -6.26%K -25.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-24 17:50
Caesars🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 10:59
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-24 17:55
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-24 17:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%0.3%2026-03-24 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-03-24 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-03-24 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-03-24 17:55
ProphetX3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%1.2%2026-03-24 17:55
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%1.7%2026-03-24 17:55
Novig3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%1.9%2026-03-24 17:55