L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Valentin Vacherot v Arthur Fils
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Valentin Vacherot (Local)
Prévision 30.50%3.28cote équitable
EV +2.18%
Avantage +0.652%
Kelly +0.929%
Croissance +0.020%
avec la cote maximale 3.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.80%30.56%30.49%32.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.113.133.3534.48%32.14%31.90%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Arthur Fils (Visiteur)
Prévision 69.50%1.44cote équitable
EV -2.70%
Avantage -1.93%
Kelly -6.76%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.76%69.44%69.51%72.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.361.361.4077.52%73.67%73.53%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +2.18%E +0.652%K +0.929%G +0.020% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-24 17:54 |
| SportsBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV +2.18%E +0.652%K +0.929%G +0.020% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -10.35%E -8.02%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-24 17:54 |
| BetUS | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.658%E +0.200%K +0.286%G +0.002% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Paddy Power | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.658%E +0.200%K +0.286%G +0.002% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| theScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 17:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 06:53 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:54 |
| Bet Right | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -2.70%E -0.845%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.00%E -0.944%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 17:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.70%E -1.93%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-24 17:44 |
| Unibet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 09:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:15 |
| Casumo | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| betPARX | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| Bally Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| ReBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 17:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 17:54 |
| GTbets | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -4.53%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-24 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.83%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 17:50 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 21:38 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 21:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 21:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 21:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-24 04:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| BetRivers | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| TABtouch | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| 1xBet | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -7.27%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -3.40%E -2.45%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| Betsson | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:45 |
| NordicBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| TAB | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| LeoVegas | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-24 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| Fliff | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.26%E -6.26%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-24 17:50 |
| Caesars | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-24 17:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23% | 0.3% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| ProphetX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 1.2% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 1.7% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Novig | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61% | 1.9% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |