La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Valentin Vacherot v Arthur Fils
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Valentin Vacherot (Local)
Predicción 30.50%3.28momio equitativo
EV +2.18%
Ventaja +0.652%
Kelly +0.929%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.80%30.56%30.49%32.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.113.133.3534.48%32.14%31.90%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Arthur Fils (Visitante)
Predicción 69.50%1.44momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -1.93%
Kelly -6.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.76%69.44%69.51%72.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.361.361.4077.52%73.67%73.53%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +2.18%E +0.652%K +0.929%G +0.020% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-24 17:54 |
| SportsBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV +2.18%E +0.652%K +0.929%G +0.020% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -10.35%E -8.02%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-24 17:54 |
| BetUS | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.658%E +0.200%K +0.286%G +0.002% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Paddy Power | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.658%E +0.200%K +0.286%G +0.002% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| theScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 17:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 06:53 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:54 |
| Bet Right | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -2.70%E -0.845%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.00%E -0.944%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 17:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.70%E -1.93%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-24 17:44 |
| Unibet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 09:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:15 |
| Casumo | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| betPARX | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| Bally Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| ReBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 17:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 17:54 |
| GTbets | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -4.53%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-24 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.83%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 17:50 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 21:38 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 21:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 21:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 21:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-24 04:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| BetRivers | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| TABtouch | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| 1xBet | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -7.27%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -3.40%E -2.45%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| Betsson | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:45 |
| NordicBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| TAB | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| LeoVegas | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-24 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| Fliff | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.26%E -6.26%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-24 17:50 |
| Caesars | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-24 17:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23% | 0.3% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| ProphetX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 1.2% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 1.7% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Novig | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61% | 1.9% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |