مدرسة الاحتمالات

Valentin Vacherot v Arthur Fils

البداية: 2026-03-24 18:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Valentin Vacherot (المضيف)

التنبؤ 30.50%3.28السعر العادل
EV +2.18%
الأفضلية +0.652%
Kelly +0.929%
النمو +0.020%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.80%30.56%30.49%32.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.113.133.3534.48%32.14%31.90%29.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arthur Fils (الضيف)

التنبؤ 69.50%1.44السعر العادل
EV -2.70%
الأفضلية -1.93%
Kelly -6.76%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
67.76%69.44%69.51%72.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.291.361.361.4077.52%73.67%73.53%71.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +2.18%E +0.652%K +0.929%G +0.020%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-24 17:54
SportsBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV +2.18%E +0.652%K +0.929%G +0.020%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -10.35%E -8.02%K -35.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 17:54
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.658%E +0.200%K +0.286%G +0.002%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 17:55
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.658%E +0.200%K +0.286%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 17:55
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 17:54
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 17:14
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 17:14
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 06:53
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:54
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:55
LowVig.ag3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -2.70%E -0.845%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 17:55
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.00%E -0.944%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 17:44
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.70%E -1.93%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-24 17:44
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 17:14
Parions Sport (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 17:30
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 09:14
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:15
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:14
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:14
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:14
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:14
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:15
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:14
ReBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 15:14
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 17:55
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 17:29
BetOnline.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 17:54
GTbets3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -4.53%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 17:40
DraftKings3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.83%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 17:50
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 17:55
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 21:38
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 21:39
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 21:40
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 21:40
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 04:20
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:45
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:49
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:49
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:50
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:49
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:49
1xBet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -7.27%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -3.40%E -2.45%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 17:49
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:45
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:44
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 17:49
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 17:55
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 10:59
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-24 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-24 17:49
Fliff3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.26%E -6.26%K -25.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-24 17:50
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 10:59
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-24 17:55
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-24 17:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%0.3%2026-03-24 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-03-24 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-03-24 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-03-24 17:55
ProphetX3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%1.2%2026-03-24 17:55
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%1.7%2026-03-24 17:55
Novig3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%1.9%2026-03-24 17:55