A Escola das Odds

Valentin Vacherot v Arthur Fils

Início: 2026-03-24 18:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Valentin Vacherot (Local)

Previsão 30.50%3.28odd justa
EV +2.18%
Vantagem +0.652%
Kelly +0.929%
Crescimento +0.020%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.80%30.56%30.49%32.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.903.113.133.3534.48%32.14%31.90%29.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arthur Fils (Visitante)

Previsão 69.50%1.44odd justa
EV -2.70%
Vantagem -1.93%
Kelly -6.76%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.76%69.44%69.51%72.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.291.361.361.4077.52%73.67%73.53%71.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +2.18%E +0.652%K +0.929%G +0.020%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-24 17:54
SportsBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV +2.18%E +0.652%K +0.929%G +0.020%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -10.35%E -8.02%K -35.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 17:54
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.658%E +0.200%K +0.286%G +0.002%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 17:55
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.658%E +0.200%K +0.286%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 17:55
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 17:54
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 17:14
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 17:14
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 06:53
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:54
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:55
LowVig.ag3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -2.70%E -0.845%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 17:55
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.00%E -0.944%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 17:44
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.70%E -1.93%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-24 17:44
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 17:14
Parions Sport (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 17:30
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 09:14
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:15
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:14
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:14
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:14
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:14
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:15
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:14
ReBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 15:14
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 17:55
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 17:29
BetOnline.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 17:54
GTbets3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -4.53%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 17:40
DraftKings3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.83%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 17:50
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 17:55
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 21:38
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 21:39
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 21:40
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 21:40
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 04:20
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:45
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:49
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:49
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:50
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:49
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:49
1xBet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -7.27%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -3.40%E -2.45%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 17:49
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:45
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:44
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 17:49
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 17:55
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 10:59
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-24 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-24 17:49
Fliff3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.26%E -6.26%K -25.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-24 17:50
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 10:59
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-24 17:55
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-24 17:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%0.3%2026-03-24 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-03-24 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-03-24 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-03-24 17:55
ProphetX3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%1.2%2026-03-24 17:55
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%1.7%2026-03-24 17:55
Novig3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%1.9%2026-03-24 17:55