Die Wettquotenschule

Valentin Vacherot v Arthur Fils

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-24 18:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

54 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Valentin Vacherot (Heim)

Prognose 30.50%3.28faire Quote
EV +2.18%
Vorteil +0.652%
Kelly +0.929%
Wachstum +0.020%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.35

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.80%30.56%30.49%32.24%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.903.113.133.3534.48%32.14%31.90%29.85%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Arthur Fils (Auswärts)

Prognose 69.50%1.44faire Quote
EV -2.70%
Vorteil -1.93%
Kelly -6.76%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
67.76%69.44%69.51%72.20%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.291.361.361.4077.52%73.67%73.53%71.43%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (54 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
FanDuel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +2.18%E +0.652%K +0.929%G +0.020%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-24 17:54
SportsBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV +2.18%E +0.652%K +0.929%G +0.020%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -10.35%E -8.02%K -35.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 17:54
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.658%E +0.200%K +0.286%G +0.002%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 17:55
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.658%E +0.200%K +0.286%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 17:55
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 17:54
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 17:14
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 17:14
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 06:53
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:54
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:55
LowVig.ag3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -2.70%E -0.845%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 17:55
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.00%E -0.944%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 17:44
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.70%E -1.93%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-24 17:44
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 17:14
Parions Sport (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 17:30
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 09:14
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:15
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:14
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:14
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:14
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:14
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:15
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:14
ReBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 15:14
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 17:55
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 17:29
BetOnline.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 17:54
GTbets3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -4.53%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 17:40
DraftKings3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.83%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 17:50
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 17:55
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 21:38
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 21:39
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 21:40
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 21:40
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 04:20
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:45
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:49
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:49
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:50
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:49
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:49
1xBet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -7.27%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -3.40%E -2.45%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 17:49
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:45
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 17:44
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 17:49
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 17:55
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 10:59
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-24 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-24 17:49
Fliff3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.26%E -6.26%K -25.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-24 17:50
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 10:59
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-24 17:55
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-24 17:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%0.3%2026-03-24 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-03-24 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-03-24 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-03-24 17:55
ProphetX3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%1.2%2026-03-24 17:55
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%1.7%2026-03-24 17:55
Novig3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%1.9%2026-03-24 17:55