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Valentin Vacherot v Arthur Fils
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Valentin Vacherot (Хозяева)
Прогноз 30.50%3.28справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.18%
Преимущество +0.652%
Kelly +0.929%
Рост +0.020%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.35
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.80%30.56%30.49%32.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.903.113.133.3534.48%32.14%31.90%29.85%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Arthur Fils (Гости)
Прогноз 69.50%1.44справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.70%
Преимущество -1.93%
Kelly -6.76%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
67.76%69.44%69.51%72.20%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.291.361.361.4077.52%73.67%73.53%71.43%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Valentin Vacherot (Хозяева): 30.50%; Arthur Fils (Гости): 69.50%. Для исхода «Valentin Vacherot (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.28. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.35, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.18%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (54 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +2.18%E +0.652%K +0.929%G +0.020% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-24 17:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV +2.18%E +0.652%K +0.929%G +0.020% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -10.35%E -8.02%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-24 17:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.658%E +0.200%K +0.286%G +0.002% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.658%E +0.200%K +0.286%G +0.002% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 17:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 06:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -2.70%E -0.845%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.00%E -0.944%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 17:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.70%E -1.93%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-24 17:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 09:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 17:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 17:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -4.53%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-24 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.83%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 17:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 21:38 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 21:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 21:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 21:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-24 04:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -7.27%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -3.40%E -2.45%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-24 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.26%E -6.26%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-24 17:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-24 17:45 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23% | 0.3% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 1.2% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 1.7% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61% | 1.9% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |