Język:Polski
Valentin Vacherot v Arthur Fils
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Valentin Vacherot (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 30.50%3.28kurs godziwy
EV +2.18%
Przewaga +0.652%
Kelly +0.929%
Wzrost +0.020%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.35
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.80%30.56%30.49%32.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.903.113.133.3534.48%32.14%31.90%29.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Arthur Fils (Goście)
Prognoza 69.50%1.44kurs godziwy
EV -2.70%
Przewaga -1.93%
Kelly -6.76%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.40
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
67.76%69.44%69.51%72.20%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.291.361.361.4077.52%73.67%73.53%71.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Valentin Vacherot (Gospodarze): 30.50%; Arthur Fils (Goście): 69.50%. Dla wyniku Valentin Vacherot (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.28. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.35, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.18%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (54 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +2.18%E +0.652%K +0.929%G +0.020% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-24 17:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV +2.18%E +0.652%K +0.929%G +0.020% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -10.35%E -8.02%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-24 17:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.658%E +0.200%K +0.286%G +0.002% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.658%E +0.200%K +0.286%G +0.002% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 17:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 06:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.39%E -0.747%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -2.70%E -0.845%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.00%E -0.944%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 17:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.70%E -1.93%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-24 17:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 09:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 15:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -3.92%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 17:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 17:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -4.53%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-24 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.83%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 17:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 21:38 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 21:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 21:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 21:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-24 04:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -7.27%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -3.40%E -2.45%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.79%E -3.50%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 17:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-24 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-24 17:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.26%E -6.26%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-24 17:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.09%E -2.97%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-24 17:45 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23% | 0.3% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 1.2% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 1.7% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61% | 1.9% | 2026-03-24 17:55 |