The School of Odds

Matteo Arnaldi v Alexander Shevchenko

Matchstart: 2026-03-20 22:02 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (Hemma)

Prognos 49.17%2.03rättvist odds
EV +7.19%
Fördel +3.30%
Kelly +6.09%
Tillväxt +0.438%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.18

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
43.72%48.57%49.47%51.48%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.801.971.952.1855.56%50.65%51.28%45.87%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Alexander Shevchenko (Borta)

Prognos 50.83%1.97rättvist odds
EV -2.91%
Fördel -1.52%
Kelly -3.20%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.91

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
48.52%51.43%50.53%56.28%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.671.801.801.9159.88%55.57%55.56%52.36%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV +7.19%E +3.30%K +6.09%G +0.438%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-20 21:45
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +6.20%E +2.87%K +5.35%G +0.332%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 21:56
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +6.20%E +2.87%K +5.35%G +0.332%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 21:56
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +5.71%E +2.66%K +4.97%G +0.284%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -13.08%E -7.65%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 19:30
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +5.71%E +2.66%K +4.97%G +0.284%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -15.11%E -9.05%K -22.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 19:30
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +4.24%E +2.00%K +3.78%G +0.160%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 21:35
Bet Right2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +4.24%E +2.00%K +3.78%G +0.160%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -12.57%E -7.31%K -17.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:20
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +4.24%E +2.00%K +3.78%G +0.160%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -12.57%E -7.31%K -17.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 19:30
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +3.25%E +1.55%K +2.96%G +0.096%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 19:30
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +3.25%E +1.55%K +2.96%G +0.096%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -12.06%E -6.97%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:45
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +3.25%E +1.55%K +2.96%G +0.096%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -12.06%E -6.97%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 19:29
ReBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV +2.76%E +1.32%K +2.53%G +0.070%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 20:45
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 21:55
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 21:59
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 19:30
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -12.57%E -7.31%K -17.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 21:20
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 22:00
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:59
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:59
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -13.59%E -7.99%K -19.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 19:29
Parions Sport (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -2.15%E -1.08%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -10.54%E -5.99%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:14
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.14%E -1.59%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 22:00
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.63%E -1.85%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.47%E -3.52%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:00
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:00
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:00
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:00
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:00
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:00
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:00
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 22:00
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.49%E -4.11%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 22:00
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.49%E -4.11%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 22:00
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 22:00
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 22:00
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 22:00
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:00
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 22:00
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -9.01%E -5.03%K -11.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 22:00
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 21:59
Betway1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 22:00
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 22:00
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%EV -7.07%E -3.74%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%EV -9.52%E -5.35%K -12.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 22:00
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:00
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 21:59
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:00
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -8.55%E -4.60%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.93%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 22:00
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -10.02%E -5.48%K -12.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 22:00
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 22:00
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 22:00
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 22:00
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-20 22:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-03-20 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-03-20 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-03-20 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-03-20 22:00
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-03-20 22:00
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%4.3%2026-03-20 22:00
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%5.4%2026-03-20 22:00