Szkoła Kursów

Matteo Arnaldi v Alexander Shevchenko

Początek: 2026-03-20 22:02 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

54 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 49.17%2.03kurs godziwy
EV +7.19%
Przewaga +3.30%
Kelly +6.09%
Wzrost +0.438%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.18

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
43.72%48.57%49.47%51.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.801.971.952.1855.56%50.65%51.28%45.87%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Alexander Shevchenko (Goście)

Prognoza 50.83%1.97kurs godziwy
EV -2.91%
Przewaga -1.52%
Kelly -3.20%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.91

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
48.52%51.43%50.53%56.28%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.671.801.801.9159.88%55.57%55.56%52.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (54 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV +7.19%E +3.30%K +6.09%G +0.438%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-20 21:45
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +6.20%E +2.87%K +5.35%G +0.332%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 21:56
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +6.20%E +2.87%K +5.35%G +0.332%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 21:56
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +5.71%E +2.66%K +4.97%G +0.284%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -13.08%E -7.65%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 19:30
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +5.71%E +2.66%K +4.97%G +0.284%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -15.11%E -9.05%K -22.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 19:30
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +4.24%E +2.00%K +3.78%G +0.160%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 21:35
Bet Right2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +4.24%E +2.00%K +3.78%G +0.160%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -12.57%E -7.31%K -17.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:20
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +4.24%E +2.00%K +3.78%G +0.160%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -12.57%E -7.31%K -17.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 19:30
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +3.25%E +1.55%K +2.96%G +0.096%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 19:30
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +3.25%E +1.55%K +2.96%G +0.096%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -12.06%E -6.97%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:45
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +3.25%E +1.55%K +2.96%G +0.096%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -12.06%E -6.97%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 19:29
ReBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV +2.76%E +1.32%K +2.53%G +0.070%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 20:45
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 21:55
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 21:59
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 19:30
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -12.57%E -7.31%K -17.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 21:20
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 22:00
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:59
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:59
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -13.59%E -7.99%K -19.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 19:29
Parions Sport (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -2.15%E -1.08%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -10.54%E -5.99%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:14
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.14%E -1.59%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 22:00
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.63%E -1.85%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.47%E -3.52%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:00
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:00
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:00
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:00
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:00
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:00
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:00
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 22:00
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.49%E -4.11%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 22:00
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.49%E -4.11%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 22:00
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 22:00
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 22:00
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 22:00
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:00
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 22:00
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -9.01%E -5.03%K -11.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 22:00
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 21:59
Betway1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 22:00
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 22:00
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%EV -7.07%E -3.74%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%EV -9.52%E -5.35%K -12.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 22:00
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:00
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 21:59
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:00
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -8.55%E -4.60%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.93%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 22:00
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -10.02%E -5.48%K -12.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 22:00
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 22:00
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 22:00
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 22:00
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-20 22:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-03-20 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-03-20 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-03-20 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-03-20 22:00
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-03-20 22:00
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%4.3%2026-03-20 22:00
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%5.4%2026-03-20 22:00