La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Matteo Arnaldi v Alexander Shevchenko
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Matteo Arnaldi (Local)
Predicción 49.17%2.03momio equitativo
EV +7.19%
Ventaja +3.30%
Kelly +6.09%
Crecimiento +0.438%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.72%48.57%49.47%51.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.971.952.1855.56%50.65%51.28%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alexander Shevchenko (Visitante)
Predicción 50.83%1.97momio equitativo
EV -2.91%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -3.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.52%51.43%50.53%56.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.801.801.9159.88%55.57%55.56%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV +7.19%E +3.30%K +6.09%G +0.438% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-20 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +6.20%E +2.87%K +5.35%G +0.332% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-20 21:56 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +6.20%E +2.87%K +5.35%G +0.332% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-20 21:56 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +5.71%E +2.66%K +4.97%G +0.284% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -13.08%E -7.65%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +5.71%E +2.66%K +4.97%G +0.284% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -15.11%E -9.05%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +4.24%E +2.00%K +3.78%G +0.160% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 21:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +4.24%E +2.00%K +3.78%G +0.160% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -12.57%E -7.31%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 21:20 |
| Bally Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +4.24%E +2.00%K +3.78%G +0.160% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -12.57%E -7.31%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +3.25%E +1.55%K +2.96%G +0.096% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +3.25%E +1.55%K +2.96%G +0.096% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -12.06%E -6.97%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 21:45 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +3.25%E +1.55%K +2.96%G +0.096% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -12.06%E -6.97%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 19:29 |
| ReBet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV +2.76%E +1.32%K +2.53%G +0.070% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 20:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 21:55 |
| TAB | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 21:59 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -12.57%E -7.31%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 21:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 21:59 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 21:59 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -13.59%E -7.99%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 19:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -2.15%E -1.08%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -10.54%E -5.99%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 21:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.14%E -1.59%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Unibet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.63%E -1.85%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.47%E -3.52%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Casumo | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| betPARX | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.49%E -4.11%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.49%E -4.11%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -9.01%E -5.03%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-20 21:59 |
| Betway | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%EV -7.07%E -3.74%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%EV -9.52%E -5.35%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 21:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -8.55%E -4.60%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.93%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -10.02%E -5.48%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 2.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Novig | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |