Школа коэффициентов

Matteo Arnaldi v Alexander Shevchenko

Начало: 2026-03-20 22:02 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

54 букмекерские конторы (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (Хозяева)

Прогноз 49.17%2.03справедливый коэффициент
EV +7.19%
Преимущество +3.30%
Kelly +6.09%
Рост +0.438%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.18

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
43.72%48.57%49.47%51.48%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.801.971.952.1855.56%50.65%51.28%45.87%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Alexander Shevchenko (Гости)

Прогноз 50.83%1.97справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.91%
Преимущество -1.52%
Kelly -3.20%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.91

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
48.52%51.43%50.53%56.28%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.671.801.801.9159.88%55.57%55.56%52.36%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (54 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV +7.19%E +3.30%K +6.09%G +0.438%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-20 21:45
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +6.20%E +2.87%K +5.35%G +0.332%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 21:56
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +6.20%E +2.87%K +5.35%G +0.332%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 21:56
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +5.71%E +2.66%K +4.97%G +0.284%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -13.08%E -7.65%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 19:30
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +5.71%E +2.66%K +4.97%G +0.284%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -15.11%E -9.05%K -22.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 19:30
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +4.24%E +2.00%K +3.78%G +0.160%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 21:35
Bet Right2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +4.24%E +2.00%K +3.78%G +0.160%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -12.57%E -7.31%K -17.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:20
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +4.24%E +2.00%K +3.78%G +0.160%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -12.57%E -7.31%K -17.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 19:30
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +3.25%E +1.55%K +2.96%G +0.096%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 19:30
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +3.25%E +1.55%K +2.96%G +0.096%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -12.06%E -6.97%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:45
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +3.25%E +1.55%K +2.96%G +0.096%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -12.06%E -6.97%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 19:29
ReBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV +2.76%E +1.32%K +2.53%G +0.070%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 20:45
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 21:55
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 21:59
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 19:30
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -12.57%E -7.31%K -17.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 21:20
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 22:00
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:59
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:59
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -13.59%E -7.99%K -19.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 19:29
Parions Sport (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -2.15%E -1.08%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -10.54%E -5.99%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:14
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.14%E -1.59%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 22:00
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.63%E -1.85%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.47%E -3.52%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:00
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:00
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:00
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:00
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:00
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:00
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:00
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 22:00
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.49%E -4.11%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 22:00
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.49%E -4.11%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 22:00
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 22:00
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 22:00
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 22:00
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:00
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 22:00
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -9.01%E -5.03%K -11.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 22:00
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 21:59
Betway1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 22:00
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 22:00
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%EV -7.07%E -3.74%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%EV -9.52%E -5.35%K -12.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 22:00
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:00
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 21:59
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:00
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -8.55%E -4.60%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.93%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 22:00
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -10.02%E -5.48%K -12.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 22:00
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 22:00
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 22:00
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 22:00
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-20 22:00
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-03-20 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-03-20 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-03-20 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-03-20 22:00
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-03-20 22:00
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%4.3%2026-03-20 22:00
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%5.4%2026-03-20 22:00