Idioma:Português
Matteo Arnaldi v Alexander Shevchenko
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Matteo Arnaldi (Local)
Previsão 49.17%2.03odd justa
EV +7.19%
Vantagem +3.30%
Kelly +6.09%
Crescimento +0.438%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.18
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.72%48.57%49.47%51.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.971.952.1855.56%50.65%51.28%45.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alexander Shevchenko (Visitante)
Previsão 50.83%1.97odd justa
EV -2.91%
Vantagem -1.52%
Kelly -3.20%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.52%51.43%50.53%56.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.801.801.9159.88%55.57%55.56%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Matteo Arnaldi (Local): 49.17%; Alexander Shevchenko (Visitante): 50.83%. Para Matteo Arnaldi (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.03. 16 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.18, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.19%.
Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV +7.19%E +3.30%K +6.09%G +0.438% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-20 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +6.20%E +2.87%K +5.35%G +0.332% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-20 21:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +6.20%E +2.87%K +5.35%G +0.332% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-20 21:56 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +5.71%E +2.66%K +4.97%G +0.284% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -13.08%E -7.65%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +5.71%E +2.66%K +4.97%G +0.284% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -15.11%E -9.05%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +4.24%E +2.00%K +3.78%G +0.160% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 21:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +4.24%E +2.00%K +3.78%G +0.160% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -12.57%E -7.31%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 21:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +4.24%E +2.00%K +3.78%G +0.160% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -12.57%E -7.31%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +3.25%E +1.55%K +2.96%G +0.096% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +3.25%E +1.55%K +2.96%G +0.096% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -12.06%E -6.97%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 21:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +3.25%E +1.55%K +2.96%G +0.096% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -12.06%E -6.97%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 19:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV +2.76%E +1.32%K +2.53%G +0.070% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 20:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 21:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 21:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -12.57%E -7.31%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 21:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 21:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 21:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -13.59%E -7.99%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 19:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -2.15%E -1.08%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -10.54%E -5.99%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 21:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.14%E -1.59%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.63%E -1.85%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.47%E -3.52%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.49%E -4.11%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.49%E -4.11%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -9.01%E -5.03%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-20 21:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%EV -7.07%E -3.74%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%EV -9.52%E -5.35%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 21:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -8.55%E -4.60%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.93%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -10.02%E -5.48%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 2.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |