Die Wettquotenschule

Matteo Arnaldi v Alexander Shevchenko

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-20 22:02 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

54 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (Heim)

Prognose 49.17%2.03faire Quote
EV +7.19%
Vorteil +3.30%
Kelly +6.09%
Wachstum +0.438%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.18

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
43.72%48.57%49.47%51.48%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.801.971.952.1855.56%50.65%51.28%45.87%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Alexander Shevchenko (Auswärts)

Prognose 50.83%1.97faire Quote
EV -2.91%
Vorteil -1.52%
Kelly -3.20%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.91

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
48.52%51.43%50.53%56.28%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.671.801.801.9159.88%55.57%55.56%52.36%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (54 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV +7.19%E +3.30%K +6.09%G +0.438%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-20 21:45
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +6.20%E +2.87%K +5.35%G +0.332%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 21:56
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +6.20%E +2.87%K +5.35%G +0.332%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 21:56
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +5.71%E +2.66%K +4.97%G +0.284%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -13.08%E -7.65%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 19:30
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +5.71%E +2.66%K +4.97%G +0.284%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -15.11%E -9.05%K -22.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 19:30
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +4.24%E +2.00%K +3.78%G +0.160%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 21:35
Bet Right2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +4.24%E +2.00%K +3.78%G +0.160%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -12.57%E -7.31%K -17.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:20
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +4.24%E +2.00%K +3.78%G +0.160%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -12.57%E -7.31%K -17.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 19:30
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +3.25%E +1.55%K +2.96%G +0.096%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 19:30
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +3.25%E +1.55%K +2.96%G +0.096%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -12.06%E -6.97%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:45
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +3.25%E +1.55%K +2.96%G +0.096%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -12.06%E -6.97%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 19:29
ReBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV +2.76%E +1.32%K +2.53%G +0.070%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 20:45
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 21:55
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 21:59
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 19:30
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -12.57%E -7.31%K -17.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 21:20
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 22:00
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:59
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:59
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -13.59%E -7.99%K -19.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 19:29
Parions Sport (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -2.15%E -1.08%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -10.54%E -5.99%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:14
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.14%E -1.59%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 22:00
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.63%E -1.85%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.47%E -3.52%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:00
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:00
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:00
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:00
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:00
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:00
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:00
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 22:00
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.49%E -4.11%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 22:00
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.49%E -4.11%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 22:00
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 22:00
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 22:00
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 22:00
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:00
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 22:00
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -9.01%E -5.03%K -11.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 22:00
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 21:59
Betway1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 22:00
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 22:00
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%EV -7.07%E -3.74%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%EV -9.52%E -5.35%K -12.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 22:00
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:00
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 21:59
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:00
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -8.55%E -4.60%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.93%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 22:00
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -10.02%E -5.48%K -12.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 22:00
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 22:00
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 22:00
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 22:00
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-20 22:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-03-20 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-03-20 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-03-20 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-03-20 22:00
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-03-20 22:00
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%4.3%2026-03-20 22:00
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%5.4%2026-03-20 22:00