L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Matteo Arnaldi v Alexander Shevchenko
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Matteo Arnaldi (Local)
Prévision 49.17%2.03cote équitable
EV +7.19%
Avantage +3.30%
Kelly +6.09%
Croissance +0.438%
avec la cote maximale 2.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.72%48.57%49.47%51.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.971.952.1855.56%50.65%51.28%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Alexander Shevchenko (Visiteur)
Prévision 50.83%1.97cote équitable
EV -2.91%
Avantage -1.52%
Kelly -3.20%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.91
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.52%51.43%50.53%56.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.801.801.9159.88%55.57%55.56%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV +7.19%E +3.30%K +6.09%G +0.438% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-20 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +6.20%E +2.87%K +5.35%G +0.332% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-20 21:56 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +6.20%E +2.87%K +5.35%G +0.332% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-20 21:56 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +5.71%E +2.66%K +4.97%G +0.284% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -13.08%E -7.65%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +5.71%E +2.66%K +4.97%G +0.284% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -15.11%E -9.05%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +4.24%E +2.00%K +3.78%G +0.160% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 21:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +4.24%E +2.00%K +3.78%G +0.160% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -12.57%E -7.31%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 21:20 |
| Bally Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +4.24%E +2.00%K +3.78%G +0.160% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -12.57%E -7.31%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +3.25%E +1.55%K +2.96%G +0.096% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +3.25%E +1.55%K +2.96%G +0.096% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -12.06%E -6.97%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 21:45 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +3.25%E +1.55%K +2.96%G +0.096% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -12.06%E -6.97%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 19:29 |
| ReBet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV +2.76%E +1.32%K +2.53%G +0.070% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 20:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 21:55 |
| TAB | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 21:59 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV +0.795%E +0.388%K +0.757%G +0.006% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -12.57%E -7.31%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 21:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 21:59 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 21:59 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -13.59%E -7.99%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 19:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -2.15%E -1.08%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -10.54%E -5.99%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 21:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.14%E -1.59%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Unibet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.63%E -1.85%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.47%E -3.52%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Casumo | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| betPARX | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.49%E -4.11%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.49%E -4.11%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.99%E -4.42%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -9.01%E -5.03%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-20 21:59 |
| Betway | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%EV -7.07%E -3.74%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%EV -9.52%E -5.35%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 21:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -8.55%E -4.60%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.93%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -10.02%E -5.48%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 2.9% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Novig | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |