The School of Odds

Frances Tiafoe v Arthur Cazaux

Matchstart: 2026-03-21 23:50 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Frances Tiafoe (Hemma)

Prognos 65.73%1.52rättvist odds
EV +0.571%
Fördel +0.373%
Kelly +1.08%
Tillväxt +0.006%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.53

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
62.03%65.91%65.48%70.60%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.321.401.401.5375.76%71.24%71.43%65.36%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Arthur Cazaux (Borta)

Prognos 34.27%2.92rättvist odds
EV +8.97%
Fördel +2.82%
Kelly +4.12%
Tillväxt +0.369%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.18

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.40%34.09%34.52%37.97%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.502.862.883.1840.00%34.98%34.72%31.45%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -11.26%E -8.34%K -32.18%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV +8.97%E +2.82%K +4.12%G +0.369%5.5%2026-03-21 23:37
SportsBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -13.23%E -10.03%K -41.35%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.40%EV +8.63%E +2.72%K +3.98%G +0.343%7.3%2026-03-21 23:40
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -12.58%E -9.46%K -38.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +6.23%E +2.01%K +2.97%G +0.185%7.4%2026-03-21 23:29
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV +3.83%E +1.26%K +1.89%G +0.072%4.4%2026-03-21 23:44
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV +3.83%E +1.26%K +1.89%G +0.072%4.4%2026-03-21 23:44
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -8.63%E -6.21%K -22.13%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV +3.49%E +1.16%K +1.73%G +0.060%5.1%2026-03-21 23:36
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%4.8%2026-03-21 23:38
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%4.8%2026-03-21 23:38
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -8.63%E -6.21%K -22.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%5.3%2026-03-21 23:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%5.8%2026-03-21 23:29
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%5.8%2026-03-21 23:40
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -9.95%E -7.26%K -26.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%6.3%2026-03-21 23:39
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.60%E -7.80%K -29.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%6.9%2026-03-21 23:39
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.58%E -9.46%K -38.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%8.5%2026-03-21 23:33
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.09%E +0.369%K +0.559%G +0.006%5.3%2026-03-21 23:44
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.09%E +0.369%K +0.559%G +0.006%5.3%2026-03-21 23:44
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.09%E +0.369%K +0.559%G +0.006%5.3%2026-03-21 23:44
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 23:44
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:44
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:44
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:44
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:44
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:44
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 23:39
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 23:44
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.31%E -0.455%K -0.696%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 23:44
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -10.60%E -7.80%K -29.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -1.31%E -0.455%K -0.696%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 23:44
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -1.99%E -0.697%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 23:44
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 23:44
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 23:44
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 23:44
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 23:44
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 23:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 23:44
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 23:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.60%E -7.80%K -29.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 23:44
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:45
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:44
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:44
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 23:44
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 23:44
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.48%E -2.77%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 23:44
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.48%E -2.77%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 23:44
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.19%E -3.47%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 23:44
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -9.19%E -3.47%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 23:44
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.22%E -3.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 23:44
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.22%E -3.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 23:44
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.22%E -3.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 23:44
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.72%E -1.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.90%E -4.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 23:44
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -10.90%E -4.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 23:44
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +0.571%E +0.373%K +1.08%G +0.006%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -14.33%E -5.73%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%0.3%2026-03-21 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-03-21 23:45
ProphetX1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-03-21 23:43
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-03-21 23:44
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%2.9%2026-03-21 23:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%4.4%2026-03-21 23:44
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 67.46%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.54%8.2%2026-03-21 23:44