La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Frances Tiafoe v Arthur Cazaux
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Frances Tiafoe (Local)
Predicción 65.73%1.52momio equitativo
EV +0.571%
Ventaja +0.373%
Kelly +1.08%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.03%65.91%65.48%70.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.401.401.5375.76%71.24%71.43%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Arthur Cazaux (Visitante)
Predicción 34.27%2.92momio equitativo
EV +8.97%
Ventaja +2.82%
Kelly +4.12%
Crecimiento +0.369%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.40%34.09%34.52%37.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.862.883.1840.00%34.98%34.72%31.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -11.26%E -8.34%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV +8.97%E +2.82%K +4.12%G +0.369% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 23:37 |
| SportsBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -13.23%E -10.03%K -41.35%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.40%EV +8.63%E +2.72%K +3.98%G +0.343% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 23:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -12.58%E -9.46%K -38.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +6.23%E +2.01%K +2.97%G +0.185% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV +3.83%E +1.26%K +1.89%G +0.072% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV +3.83%E +1.26%K +1.89%G +0.072% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -8.63%E -6.21%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV +3.49%E +1.16%K +1.73%G +0.060% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 23:36 |
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 23:38 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 23:38 |
| Bet Right | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -8.63%E -6.21%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 23:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -9.95%E -7.26%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 23:39 |
| TAB | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.60%E -7.80%K -29.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 23:39 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.58%E -9.46%K -38.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 23:33 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.09%E +0.369%K +0.559%G +0.006% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.09%E +0.369%K +0.559%G +0.006% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.09%E +0.369%K +0.559%G +0.006% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Casumo | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 23:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.31%E -0.455%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -10.60%E -7.80%K -29.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -1.31%E -0.455%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -1.99%E -0.697%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.60%E -7.80%K -29.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Betsson | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Fliff | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| theScore Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.48%E -2.77%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.48%E -2.77%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.19%E -3.47%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -9.19%E -3.47%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.22%E -3.90%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.22%E -3.90%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.22%E -3.90%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Caesars | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.72%E -1.84%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.90%E -4.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -10.90%E -4.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +0.571%E +0.373%K +1.08%G +0.006% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -14.33%E -5.73%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 23:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 0.3% | 2026-03-21 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 23:45 |
| ProphetX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 23:43 |
| Matchbook | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.7% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Novig | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06% | 2.9% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Smarkets | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.46% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.54% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |