A Escola das Odds

Frances Tiafoe v Arthur Cazaux

Início: 2026-03-21 23:50 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Frances Tiafoe (Local)

Previsão 65.73%1.52odd justa
EV +0.571%
Vantagem +0.373%
Kelly +1.08%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.03%65.91%65.48%70.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.321.401.401.5375.76%71.24%71.43%65.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arthur Cazaux (Visitante)

Previsão 34.27%2.92odd justa
EV +8.97%
Vantagem +2.82%
Kelly +4.12%
Crescimento +0.369%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.40%34.09%34.52%37.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.862.883.1840.00%34.98%34.72%31.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -11.26%E -8.34%K -32.18%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV +8.97%E +2.82%K +4.12%G +0.369%5.5%2026-03-21 23:37
SportsBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -13.23%E -10.03%K -41.35%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.40%EV +8.63%E +2.72%K +3.98%G +0.343%7.3%2026-03-21 23:40
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -12.58%E -9.46%K -38.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +6.23%E +2.01%K +2.97%G +0.185%7.4%2026-03-21 23:29
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV +3.83%E +1.26%K +1.89%G +0.072%4.4%2026-03-21 23:44
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV +3.83%E +1.26%K +1.89%G +0.072%4.4%2026-03-21 23:44
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -8.63%E -6.21%K -22.13%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV +3.49%E +1.16%K +1.73%G +0.060%5.1%2026-03-21 23:36
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%4.8%2026-03-21 23:38
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%4.8%2026-03-21 23:38
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -8.63%E -6.21%K -22.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%5.3%2026-03-21 23:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%5.8%2026-03-21 23:29
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%5.8%2026-03-21 23:40
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -9.95%E -7.26%K -26.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%6.3%2026-03-21 23:39
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.60%E -7.80%K -29.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%6.9%2026-03-21 23:39
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.58%E -9.46%K -38.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%8.5%2026-03-21 23:33
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.09%E +0.369%K +0.559%G +0.006%5.3%2026-03-21 23:44
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.09%E +0.369%K +0.559%G +0.006%5.3%2026-03-21 23:44
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.09%E +0.369%K +0.559%G +0.006%5.3%2026-03-21 23:44
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 23:44
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:44
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:44
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:44
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:44
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:44
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 23:39
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 23:44
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.31%E -0.455%K -0.696%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 23:44
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -10.60%E -7.80%K -29.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -1.31%E -0.455%K -0.696%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 23:44
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -1.99%E -0.697%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 23:44
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 23:44
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 23:44
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 23:44
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 23:44
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 23:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 23:44
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 23:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.60%E -7.80%K -29.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 23:44
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:45
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:44
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:44
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 23:44
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 23:44
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.48%E -2.77%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 23:44
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.48%E -2.77%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 23:44
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.19%E -3.47%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 23:44
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -9.19%E -3.47%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 23:44
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.22%E -3.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 23:44
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.22%E -3.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 23:44
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.22%E -3.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 23:44
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.72%E -1.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.90%E -4.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 23:44
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -10.90%E -4.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 23:44
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +0.571%E +0.373%K +1.08%G +0.006%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -14.33%E -5.73%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%0.3%2026-03-21 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-03-21 23:45
ProphetX1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-03-21 23:43
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-03-21 23:44
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%2.9%2026-03-21 23:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%4.4%2026-03-21 23:44
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 67.46%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.54%8.2%2026-03-21 23:44