L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Frances Tiafoe v Arthur Cazaux
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Frances Tiafoe (Local)
Prévision 65.73%1.52cote équitable
EV +0.571%
Avantage +0.373%
Kelly +1.08%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 1.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.03%65.91%65.48%70.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.401.401.5375.76%71.24%71.43%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Arthur Cazaux (Visiteur)
Prévision 34.27%2.92cote équitable
EV +8.97%
Avantage +2.82%
Kelly +4.12%
Croissance +0.369%
avec la cote maximale 3.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.40%34.09%34.52%37.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.862.883.1840.00%34.98%34.72%31.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -11.26%E -8.34%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV +8.97%E +2.82%K +4.12%G +0.369% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 23:37 |
| SportsBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -13.23%E -10.03%K -41.35%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.40%EV +8.63%E +2.72%K +3.98%G +0.343% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 23:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -12.58%E -9.46%K -38.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +6.23%E +2.01%K +2.97%G +0.185% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV +3.83%E +1.26%K +1.89%G +0.072% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV +3.83%E +1.26%K +1.89%G +0.072% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -8.63%E -6.21%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV +3.49%E +1.16%K +1.73%G +0.060% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 23:36 |
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 23:38 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 23:38 |
| Bet Right | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -8.63%E -6.21%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 23:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -9.95%E -7.26%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 23:39 |
| TAB | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.60%E -7.80%K -29.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 23:39 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.58%E -9.46%K -38.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 23:33 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.09%E +0.369%K +0.559%G +0.006% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.09%E +0.369%K +0.559%G +0.006% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.09%E +0.369%K +0.559%G +0.006% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Casumo | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 23:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.31%E -0.455%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -10.60%E -7.80%K -29.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -1.31%E -0.455%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -1.99%E -0.697%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.60%E -7.80%K -29.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Betsson | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Fliff | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| theScore Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.48%E -2.77%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.48%E -2.77%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.19%E -3.47%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -9.19%E -3.47%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.22%E -3.90%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.22%E -3.90%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.22%E -3.90%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Caesars | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.72%E -1.84%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.90%E -4.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -10.90%E -4.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +0.571%E +0.373%K +1.08%G +0.006% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -14.33%E -5.73%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 23:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 0.3% | 2026-03-21 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 23:45 |
| ProphetX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 23:43 |
| Matchbook | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.7% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Novig | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06% | 2.9% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Smarkets | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.46% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.54% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |