مدرسة الاحتمالات

Frances Tiafoe v Arthur Cazaux

البداية: 2026-03-21 23:50 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Frances Tiafoe (المضيف)

التنبؤ 65.73%1.52السعر العادل
EV +0.571%
الأفضلية +0.373%
Kelly +1.08%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.53

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
62.03%65.91%65.48%70.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.321.401.401.5375.76%71.24%71.43%65.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arthur Cazaux (الضيف)

التنبؤ 34.27%2.92السعر العادل
EV +8.97%
الأفضلية +2.82%
Kelly +4.12%
النمو +0.369%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.18

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.40%34.09%34.52%37.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.862.883.1840.00%34.98%34.72%31.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -11.26%E -8.34%K -32.18%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV +8.97%E +2.82%K +4.12%G +0.369%5.5%2026-03-21 23:37
SportsBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -13.23%E -10.03%K -41.35%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.40%EV +8.63%E +2.72%K +3.98%G +0.343%7.3%2026-03-21 23:40
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -12.58%E -9.46%K -38.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +6.23%E +2.01%K +2.97%G +0.185%7.4%2026-03-21 23:29
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV +3.83%E +1.26%K +1.89%G +0.072%4.4%2026-03-21 23:44
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV +3.83%E +1.26%K +1.89%G +0.072%4.4%2026-03-21 23:44
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -8.63%E -6.21%K -22.13%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV +3.49%E +1.16%K +1.73%G +0.060%5.1%2026-03-21 23:36
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%4.8%2026-03-21 23:38
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%4.8%2026-03-21 23:38
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -8.63%E -6.21%K -22.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%5.3%2026-03-21 23:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%5.8%2026-03-21 23:29
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%5.8%2026-03-21 23:40
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -9.95%E -7.26%K -26.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%6.3%2026-03-21 23:39
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.60%E -7.80%K -29.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%6.9%2026-03-21 23:39
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.58%E -9.46%K -38.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%8.5%2026-03-21 23:33
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.09%E +0.369%K +0.559%G +0.006%5.3%2026-03-21 23:44
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.09%E +0.369%K +0.559%G +0.006%5.3%2026-03-21 23:44
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.09%E +0.369%K +0.559%G +0.006%5.3%2026-03-21 23:44
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 23:44
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:44
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:44
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:44
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:44
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:44
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 23:39
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 23:44
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.31%E -0.455%K -0.696%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 23:44
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -10.60%E -7.80%K -29.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -1.31%E -0.455%K -0.696%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 23:44
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -1.99%E -0.697%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 23:44
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 23:44
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 23:44
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 23:44
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 23:44
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 23:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 23:44
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 23:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.60%E -7.80%K -29.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 23:44
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:45
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:44
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:44
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 23:44
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 23:44
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.48%E -2.77%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 23:44
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.48%E -2.77%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 23:44
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.19%E -3.47%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 23:44
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -9.19%E -3.47%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 23:44
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.22%E -3.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 23:44
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.22%E -3.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 23:44
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.22%E -3.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 23:44
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.72%E -1.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.90%E -4.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 23:44
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -10.90%E -4.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 23:44
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +0.571%E +0.373%K +1.08%G +0.006%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -14.33%E -5.73%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%0.3%2026-03-21 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-03-21 23:45
ProphetX1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-03-21 23:43
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-03-21 23:44
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%2.9%2026-03-21 23:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%4.4%2026-03-21 23:44
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 67.46%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.54%8.2%2026-03-21 23:44