La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Frances Tiafoe v Arthur Cazaux
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Frances Tiafoe (Casa)
Previsione 65.73%1.52quota equa
EV +0.571%
Vantaggio +0.373%
Kelly +1.08%
Crescita +0.006%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.03%65.91%65.48%70.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.401.401.5375.76%71.24%71.43%65.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Arthur Cazaux (Trasferta)
Previsione 34.27%2.92quota equa
EV +8.97%
Vantaggio +2.82%
Kelly +4.12%
Crescita +0.369%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.18
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.40%34.09%34.52%37.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.862.883.1840.00%34.98%34.72%31.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -11.26%E -8.34%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV +8.97%E +2.82%K +4.12%G +0.369% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 23:37 |
| SportsBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -13.23%E -10.03%K -41.35%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.40%EV +8.63%E +2.72%K +3.98%G +0.343% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 23:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -12.58%E -9.46%K -38.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +6.23%E +2.01%K +2.97%G +0.185% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV +3.83%E +1.26%K +1.89%G +0.072% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV +3.83%E +1.26%K +1.89%G +0.072% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -8.63%E -6.21%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV +3.49%E +1.16%K +1.73%G +0.060% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 23:36 |
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 23:38 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 23:38 |
| Bet Right | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -8.63%E -6.21%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 23:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -9.95%E -7.26%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 23:39 |
| TAB | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.60%E -7.80%K -29.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 23:39 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.58%E -9.46%K -38.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 23:33 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.09%E +0.369%K +0.559%G +0.006% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.09%E +0.369%K +0.559%G +0.006% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.09%E +0.369%K +0.559%G +0.006% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Casumo | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 23:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.31%E -0.455%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -10.60%E -7.80%K -29.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -1.31%E -0.455%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -1.99%E -0.697%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.60%E -7.80%K -29.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Betsson | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Fliff | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| theScore Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.48%E -2.77%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.48%E -2.77%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.19%E -3.47%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -9.19%E -3.47%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.22%E -3.90%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.22%E -3.90%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.22%E -3.90%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Caesars | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.72%E -1.84%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.90%E -4.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -10.90%E -4.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +0.571%E +0.373%K +1.08%G +0.006% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -14.33%E -5.73%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 23:40 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 0.3% | 2026-03-21 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 23:45 |
| ProphetX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 23:43 |
| Matchbook | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.7% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Novig | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06% | 2.9% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Smarkets | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.46% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.54% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |