Frances Tiafoe v Arthur Cazaux

Начало: 2026-03-21 23:50 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

51 букмекерская контора (16 в анализе )

66%

34%

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Frances Tiafoe (Хозяева)

Прогноз 65.73%1.52справедливый коэффициент

EV +0.571%

Преимущество +0.373%

Kelly +1.08%

Рост +0.006%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.53

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор

62.03%65.91%65.48%70.60%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Распределение коэффициентов

1.321.401.401.5375.76%71.24%71.43%65.36%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Arthur Cazaux (Гости)

Прогноз 34.27%2.92справедливый коэффициент

EV +8.97%

Преимущество +2.82%

Kelly +4.12%

Рост +0.369%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.18

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор

29.40%34.09%34.52%37.97%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Распределение коэффициентов

2.502.862.883.1840.00%34.98%34.72%31.45%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контора	Хозяева	Гости ▼	Маржа	Обновлено
Marathon Bet	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -11.26%E -8.34%K -32.18%G +0.000%	3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV +8.97%E +2.82%K +4.12%G +0.369%	5.5%	2026-03-21 23:37
SportsBet	1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -13.23%E -10.03%K -41.35%G +0.000%	3.17I 31.55%NM 29.40%EV +8.63%E +2.72%K +3.98%G +0.343%	7.3%	2026-03-21 23:40
PMU (FR)	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -12.58%E -9.46%K -38.11%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +6.23%E +2.01%K +2.97%G +0.185%	7.4%	2026-03-21 23:29
LowVig.ag	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%	3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV +3.83%E +1.26%K +1.89%G +0.072%	4.4%	2026-03-21 23:44
BetOnline.ag	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%	3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV +3.83%E +1.26%K +1.89%G +0.072%	4.4%	2026-03-21 23:44
Unibet (FR)	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -8.63%E -6.21%K -22.13%G +0.000%	3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV +3.49%E +1.16%K +1.73%G +0.060%	5.1%	2026-03-21 23:36
1xBet	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%	4.8%	2026-03-21 23:38
Bovada	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%	4.8%	2026-03-21 23:38
Bet Right	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -8.63%E -6.21%K -22.13%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%	5.3%	2026-03-21 23:39
Parions Sport (FR)	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%	5.8%	2026-03-21 23:29
PlayUp	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%	5.8%	2026-03-21 23:40
Betr (AU)	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -9.95%E -7.26%K -26.88%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%	6.3%	2026-03-21 23:39
TAB	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.60%E -7.80%K -29.46%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%	6.9%	2026-03-21 23:39
Everygame	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.58%E -9.46%K -38.11%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +2.80%E +0.934%K +1.40%G +0.039%	8.5%	2026-03-21 23:33
Unibet (SE)	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.09%E +0.369%K +0.559%G +0.006%	5.3%	2026-03-21 23:44
Svenska Spel	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.09%E +0.369%K +0.559%G +0.006%	5.3%	2026-03-21 23:44
Hard Rock Bet	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.09%E +0.369%K +0.559%G +0.006%	5.3%	2026-03-21 23:44
FanDuel	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-03-21 23:44
Casumo	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-21 23:44
Unibet (NL)	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-21 23:44
Unibet	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-21 23:44
betPARX	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-21 23:44
ATG (SE)	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-21 23:44
William Hill	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-21 23:39
BetRivers	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -0.624%E -0.215%K -0.328%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-21 23:44
Bet Victor	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.31%E -0.455%K -0.696%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-21 23:44
Paddy Power	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -10.60%E -7.80%K -29.46%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -1.31%E -0.455%K -0.696%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-03-21 23:44
DraftKings	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%	2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -1.99%E -0.697%K -1.07%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-21 23:44
Virgin Bet	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-21 23:44
LiveScore Bet	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-21 23:44
Grosvenor	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-21 23:44
TABtouch	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.34%E -0.820%K -1.26%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-21 23:44
Coral	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-21 23:44
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-21 23:44
LeoVegas	1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-03-21 23:44
LeoVegas (SE)	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.60%E -7.80%K -29.46%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-03-21 23:44
Betsson	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-21 23:45
NordicBet	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-21 23:44
Unibet (UK)	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-21 23:44
Betway	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-21 23:44
Fliff	1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.45%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -5.76%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-03-21 23:44
theScore Bet	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.48%E -2.77%K -4.40%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-21 23:44
Winamax (DE)	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.48%E -2.77%K -4.40%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-03-21 23:44
PointsBet (AU)	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.19%E -3.47%K -5.57%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-03-21 23:44
Fanatics	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -9.19%E -3.47%K -5.57%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-03-21 23:44
888sport	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.22%E -3.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-21 23:44
888sport (SE)	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.22%E -3.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-21 23:44
Mr Green (SE)	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.22%E -3.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-21 23:44
Caesars	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.72%E -1.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.90%E -4.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-21 23:44
Winamax (FR)	1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -10.90%E -4.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-03-21 23:44
BoyleSports	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +0.571%E +0.373%K +1.08%G +0.006%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -14.33%E -5.73%K -9.55%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-21 23:40

Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контора	Хозяева	Гости	Маржа ▲	Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%	3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%	0.3%	2026-03-21 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%	3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%	1.2%	2026-03-21 23:45
ProphetX	1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%	3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%	1.3%	2026-03-21 23:43
Matchbook	1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%	3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%	1.7%	2026-03-21 23:44
Novig	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%	3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%	2.9%	2026-03-21 23:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%	3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%	4.4%	2026-03-21 23:44
Smarkets	1.37I 72.99%NM 67.46%	2.84I 35.21%NM 32.54%	8.2%	2026-03-21 23:44